NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	81		Excitement	4.5 [915]		MVP	Walter Herrmann (CHA): +12.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	97		Comeback	1.7 [766]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -16.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Reiner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
David Noel	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynn Greer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	44%	-0.00	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Damir Markota	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	45%	-0.00	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	15	72%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	45%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	20	44%	0.06	2	-0.07	14	86%	0.03
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	5	80%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	15	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	13	15%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.5	14.6	31.2	1.7	28.2	130.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -2.0%

CHA +10.2%

CHA +5.1%

CHA +36.8%

MIL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.4	90.0	106.6	104.5
season	15.2	15.7		105.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	18.5	14.1	17.9	14.7	16.2
CHA	14.2	17.2	14.2	16.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	55	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-20	24	15.1	18.1	-3.06	16.7	13.8	2.94
David Noel	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-17	18	14.5	17.9	-3.36	17.2	14.1	3.10
Lynn Greer	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-15	14	14.7	16.8	-2.14	16.7	15.2	1.43
Ersan Ilyasova	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-13	10	14.8	17.6	-2.75	16.5	14.7	1.88
Jared Reiner	8	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-13	10	17.4	16.1	1.24	16.0	15.5	0.46
Damir Markota	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-9	2	15.7	16.6	-0.82	16.5	15.0	1.46
Brian Skinner	48	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	16.4	16.0	0.37	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Ruben Patterson	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	-3	-10	17.6	14.8	2.75	14.7	16.5	-1.88
Mo Williams	51	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	3	-22	16.7	15.7	1.02	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Charlie Bell	51	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	0	-16	17.8	14.2	3.60	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Michael Redd	47	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	1	-18	17.9	14.5	3.36	14.1	17.2	-3.10

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	65	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.08	25	-9	34	14.8	17.5	-2.74	16.7	15.1	1.56
Matt Carroll	61	61	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	1	14	15.7	15.4	0.27	16.7	15.4	1.28
Emeka Okafor	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	15.7	15.4	0.28	17.6	14.4	3.21
Walter Herrmann	81	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	4	8	15.8	13.6	2.23	16.3	15.9	0.38
Gerald Wallace	74	74	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	4	8	15.6	15.3	0.35	15.7	18.6	-2.82
Derek Anderson	27	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	5	6	15.5	15.6	-0.09	16.6	16.1	0.52
Jake Voskuhl	36	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	19	-22	14.9	16.0	-1.06	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Adam Morrison	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	14	-12	14.7	15.7	-1.02	16.9	16.1	0.73
Brevin Knight	43	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	25	-34	16.8	14.5	2.29	14.8	17.5	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
PHI 85, PHX 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAC 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%