NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	5.8 [680]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +37.3%
New York Knicks	86		Comeback	1.7 [304]		LVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): -23.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	7	88%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.15	0.04	0.07	-0.04	9	52%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.01	9	45%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	18	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.04
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	10	40%	-0.04
Luke Schenscher	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.30	0.10	0.03	14	97%	0.41	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	22	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	0.00	11	36%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	26.4	17.7	29.1	2.3	32.7	134.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.0%

POR +12.7%

NYK -2.5%

POR +17.5%

NYK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.7	17.7	15.4	112.2	106.2	104.5
season	16.7	15.7		103.1	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	18.4	18.7	17.7	17.7
NYK	20.2	17.6	18.2	15.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Roy	60	62	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-11	28	17.7	17.4	0.34	17.9	16.8	1.09
Jamaal Magloire	63	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-9	24	17.7	17.4	0.38	17.6	17.8	-0.21
Ime Udoka	49	47	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-10	26	17.6	17.8	-0.27	17.9	17.4	0.51
LaMarcus Aldridge	58	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	18.6	15.4	3.17	17.3	18.8	-1.46
Jarrett Jack	55	56	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-3	12	18.3	16.4	1.81	17.4	18.2	-0.75
Sergio Rodriguez	27	25	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	9	-12	16.4	18.3	-1.81	18.2	17.4	0.75
Travis Outlaw	36	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	12	-18	15.7	19.2	-3.40	18.3	17.2	1.07
Luke Schenscher	7	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	19.0	17.5	1.47	18.6	17.6	0.98
Fred Jones	27	26	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	15	-24	17.1	17.9	-0.82	17.2	17.9	-0.77
Martell Webster	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.18	-12	18	-30	18.2	17.4	0.79	17.2	17.9	-0.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	2	2	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	18.5	17.7	0.84	12.5	17.8	-5.29
Jerome James	24	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-5	4	20.2	16.6	3.59	16.7	18.0	-1.28
Steve Francis	56	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-3	0	17.0	19.2	-2.26	17.1	19.0	-1.90
David Lee	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-1	-4	23.0	16.5	6.53	17.1	17.8	-0.64
Renaldo Balkman	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-4	2	19.5	16.2	3.33	17.4	17.9	-0.46
Nate Robinson	54	56	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-12	18	17.0	19.1	-2.15	18.5	15.8	2.65
Eddy Curry	50	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-4	2	16.6	19.4	-2.82	17.5	17.8	-0.29
Channing Frye	54	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	16.6	19.8	-3.20	17.9	17.2	0.62
Jared Jeffries	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	2	-10	17.4	17.9	-0.45	18.3	17.1	1.14
Stephon Marbury	74	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	3	-12	17.5	19.1	-1.60	17.7	17.0	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
GSW 110, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.02,0	92.9%
ORL 99, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%