inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 110 Excitement6.8 [468] MVPTroy Murphy (GSW): +27.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 103 Comeback1.4 [472] LVPJamaal Magloire (MIL): -22.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.270,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.270.180.110.031576%0.301-0.033100%0.01
Jason Richardson0.100,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.040.011657%0.121-0.01862%-0.06
Adonal Foyle0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.02390%0.071-0.02475%-0.00
Chris Taft0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04-0.000.01-0.03961%0.134-0.09580%0.01
Mickael Pietrus-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00175%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Baron Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01-0.090.04-0.041850%0.156-0.16475%-0.01
Mike Dunleavy-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011145%0.033-0.0600%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.20.200.130.07-0.011664%0.2000.001100%0.01
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.002125%0.0700.0000%0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.040.00844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.00582%0.082-0.041100%0.01
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.02-0.001052%0.092-0.07367%-0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.02956%0.043-0.0900%0.00
Michael Redd0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.03-0.050.031758%0.043-0.102100%0.01
T.J. Ford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.16-0.040.011427%-0.143-0.07250%-0.01
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.07-0.110.041238%-0.152-0.0720%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.826.216.324.31.841.0135.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +50.8%
GSW +6.8%
MIL -15.4%
GSW +3.4%
GSW +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMILNBAGSWMILNBA
this game14.314.915.6112.2104.0104.4
season14.815.5102.9104.6
opponent15.515.5106.0104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.514.012.615.114.3
MIL14.016.017.412.614.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Richardson87870.71-0.210.910.2416-92514.116.3-2.1915.014.50.47
Baron Davis72750.57-0.070.630.1514-72114.314.5-0.1814.915.0-0.06
Troy Murphy78800.54-0.040.580.2510-31314.214.9-0.7815.014.70.28
Adonal Foyle62610.53-0.030.56-0.0319-123113.715.3-1.5915.813.42.37
Mike Dunleavy89910.460.040.430.3543114.513.01.4614.717.4-2.68
Derek Fisher49480.180.32-0.130.1807-714.214.4-0.2413.716.0-2.29
Chris Taft1414-0.120.62-0.740.09-714-2116.613.92.7014.914.90.02
Zarko Cabarkapa1516-0.140.64-0.780.07-714-2114.714.30.4015.214.80.41
Mickael Pietrus2423-0.230.73-0.970.18-1421-3515.613.91.6615.214.80.40

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Bogut69660.37-0.871.24-0.3123-305314.416.1-1.7614.214.5-0.26
Jiri Welsch12120.18-0.680.86-0.058-152314.615.0-0.3715.714.11.53
Joe Smith40400.10-0.600.70-0.169-162514.615.1-0.5215.213.71.48
Charlie Bell26250.02-0.520.54-0.042-91113.415.4-2.0216.313.62.68
Mo Williams57570.00-0.500.51-0.3512-193113.616.7-3.0515.013.41.57
Toni Kukoc67-0.26-0.24-0.030.09-125-1718.214.73.4715.414.21.19
Bobby Simmons8181-0.570.07-0.63-0.21-125-1715.114.10.9814.314.4-0.10
T.J. Ford7776-0.750.25-1.01-0.14-2114-3515.413.12.3413.915.8-1.86
Michael Redd6967-0.770.27-1.04-0.07-2417-4115.313.91.4013.316.6-3.30
Jamaal Magloire5859-0.820.32-1.14-0.23-2013-3316.013.42.5913.715.3-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 113, CHA 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,093.0%
POR 92, NYK 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.01,092.9%
HOU 97, SAC 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.02,0,092.7%