NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	4.5 [919]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +22.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	121		Comeback	1.6 [1027]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -6.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	59%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.08	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Junior Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Tarence Kinsey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	11	42%	-0.01	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Alexander Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	11	61%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.04	-0.02	20	66%	0.24	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	25	61%	0.22	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	10	42%	0.03	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	15	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	28.0	16.6	28.4	2.3	25.6	130.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.4%

SEA +2.6%

SEA +5.6%

SEA +9.7%

MEM -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SEA	NBA	MEM	SEA	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	15.4	99.1	115.2	104.5
season	15.1	15.4		105.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.1		108.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	11.3	15.8	12.8	13.7
SEA	12.7	13.2	11.8	17.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-19	22	10.0	14.5	-4.46	15.1	13.3	1.73
Stromile Swift	27	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-22	28	13.0	13.9	-0.89	14.7	13.3	1.33
Alexander Johnson	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-20	24	10.9	14.3	-3.34	16.0	13.1	2.98
Junior Harrington	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-14	12	12.1	14.0	-1.93	13.2	13.7	-0.59
Chucky Atkins	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-12	8	14.1	13.4	0.74	14.7	12.8	1.91
Rudy Gay	75	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-19	22	13.6	13.7	-0.12	14.2	12.3	1.83
Tarence Kinsey	33	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-5	-6	14.5	13.3	1.20	12.4	14.3	-1.86
Lawrence Roberts	38	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-9	2	14.4	13.2	1.19	14.0	13.4	0.58
Damon Stoudamire	48	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	-3	-10	13.8	13.6	0.20	12.3	14.6	-2.28
Hakim Warrick	37	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	4	-24	14.2	13.4	0.77	10.9	15.2	-4.34
Pau Gasol	90	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-1	-14	13.9	12.1	1.81	13.8	12.6	1.25
Mike Miller	81	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.09	-24	8	-32	14.3	11.7	2.59	13.6	13.8	-0.19

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	87	88	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.04	24	-8	32	13.3	15.2	-1.91	14.1	11.7	2.33
Nick Collison	79	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.07	22	-6	28	13.5	14.0	-0.48	14.4	11.3	3.06
Luke Ridnour	61	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-9	34	13.8	13.4	0.36	14.8	11.9	2.87
Rashard Lewis	86	86	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	5	6	13.9	12.6	1.23	13.7	13.5	0.20
Chris Wilcox	74	77	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	4	8	13.5	14.0	-0.47	14.4	11.6	2.86
Mike Wilks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.7	13.5	4.15	10.0	13.8	-3.77
Mickael Gelabale	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	17.7	13.5	4.15	10.0	13.8	-3.77
Andre Brown	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	19	-22	16.4	13.3	3.05	11.6	13.9	-2.30
Johan Petro	45	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	17	-18	13.5	13.7	-0.26	11.7	15.0	-3.30
Damien Wilkins	36	36	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	18	-20	13.5	13.7	-0.17	12.5	14.2	-1.72
Earl Watson	41	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	26	-36	13.1	14.0	-0.85	12.1	14.6	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 95, POR 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAS 88, GSW 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%