NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	6.3 [564]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (SAC): +11.1%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	1.2 [1096]		LVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): -19.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Delonte West	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.11	-0.05	0.01	16	72%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	15	63%	0.13	5	-0.13	11	73%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	6	30%	-0.10	3	-0.07	8	25%	-0.11
Al Jefferson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	0.01	16	44%	-0.11	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	4	79%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	6	57%	0.16	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.07
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	51%	0.12	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.04
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	65%	0.14	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.5	32.6	15.5	31.3	1.8	28.2	141.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +9.5%

SAC +38.1%

BOS -7.9%

SAC +9.5%

SAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.4	102.0	108.3	104.5
season	15.5	14.7		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	14.9	14.6	15.3	14.8
SAC	15.4	13.9	13.6	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	39	37	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.15	9	-12	21	14.1	15.3	-1.27	15.0	14.5	0.55
Wally Szczerbiak	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-2	1	14.7	14.9	-0.12	15.9	14.5	1.40
Rajon Rondo	55	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.51	16	-19	35	13.9	16.0	-2.15	16.6	12.3	4.36
Kendrick Perkins	29	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-4	5	14.4	15.0	-0.61	16.5	13.8	2.75
Gerald Green	15	15	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	9	-21	14.7	14.9	-0.14	15.1	14.6	0.53
Al Jefferson	68	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-2	1	15.1	14.2	0.95	13.9	16.3	-2.48
Paul Pierce	69	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-2	1	14.7	15.1	-0.36	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Delonte West	94	91	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.44	1	-4	5	14.9	13.8	1.10	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Ryan Gomes	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	10	-23	15.3	13.9	1.38	13.8	16.3	-2.46
Brian Scalabrine	45	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	11	-25	16.0	13.9	2.03	13.3	15.8	-2.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	55	58	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.19	14	-11	25	13.7	16.0	-2.38	15.7	13.6	2.07
Kevin Martin	65	68	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-4	11	13.9	16.4	-2.56	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Metta World Peace	65	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	0	3	14.0	16.2	-2.27	14.9	14.7	0.23
Mike Bibby	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	0	3	14.3	15.4	-1.08	14.8	14.9	-0.05
Kenny Thomas	45	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-6	15	14.2	15.1	-0.88	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Francisco Garcia	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	2	-1	14.8	14.6	0.17	15.2	14.7	0.50
Ronnie Price	25	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	1	1	15.2	14.5	0.64	14.4	15.0	-0.64
John Salmons	54	56	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.44	-13	16	-29	16.6	12.2	4.48	14.3	15.6	-1.34
Corliss Williamson	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	3	-3	15.5	14.3	1.20	16.1	14.4	1.71
Quincy Douby	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	3	-3	0.0	14.7	-14.69	4.0	15.0	-10.96
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	41	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	14	-25	16.0	13.7	2.38	13.9	15.5	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.76,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.98,1	93.7%
ATL 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.4%
POR 93, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%