NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	86		Excitement	3.5 [1108]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +8.3%
San Antonio Spurs	99		Comeback	1.1 [1305]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (NOK): -7.3%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	59%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Linton Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	18	47%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	13	33%	-0.07	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	13	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	15	57%	0.08	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	13	59%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	11	48%	0.03	4	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	44%	-0.03	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.0	26.2	15.7	26.4	2.6	28.3	128.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +28.9%

SAS +7.7%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +8.5%

NOK -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	SAS	NBA	NOK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.4	93.5	106.5	104.5
season	16.0	16.2		102.8	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.4	16.5	18.6	13.2	16.1
SAS	11.9	14.8	16.5	17.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hilton Armstrong	11	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-21	29	13.5	16.5	-3.04	18.2	14.5	3.62
Cedric Simmons	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	7.5	16.3	-8.82	13.0	15.1	-2.05
Marc Jackson	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	16.4	16.1	0.32	15.3	15.0	0.32
Devin Brown	52	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-10	7	17.3	14.6	2.71	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Linton Johnson	27	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.4	16.4	-0.97	15.6	14.7	0.89
Rasual Butler	62	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-6	-1	16.1	16.2	-0.10	15.5	14.1	1.39
David West	63	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Desmond Mason	68	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-8	3	16.7	14.5	2.21	14.5	16.7	-2.18
Jannero Pargo	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	14.2	18.2	-3.98	15.6	14.4	1.14
Bobby Jackson	49	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-2	-9	15.4	16.9	-1.50	15.2	14.8	0.37
Tyson Chandler	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	5	-23	17.0	14.3	2.66	14.1	17.0	-2.94

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	63	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.14	21	-8	29	14.8	15.4	-0.57	16.1	16.1	0.05
Fabricio Oberto	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-10	33	14.3	15.8	-1.49	17.0	15.2	1.77
Tim Duncan	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	5	3	15.4	14.2	1.14	16.7	14.7	2.00
Beno Udrih	29	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	3	7	13.7	15.6	-1.92	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Brent Barry	31	30	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	5	3	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.9	16.3	-0.39
Robert Horry	45	42	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	11	-9	14.7	15.3	-0.58	15.7	16.5	-0.77
Bruce Bowen	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	6	1	14.7	15.4	-0.68	17.1	14.9	2.22
Tony Parker	66	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	10	-7	15.6	13.6	2.00	16.2	15.8	0.40
Michael Finley	44	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.39	-12	25	-37	16.5	13.7	2.74	14.3	17.6	-3.31
Francisco Elson	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	18	-23	15.5	14.8	0.70	15.4	16.4	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 79, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
NJN 88, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
DET 64, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%