inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 79 Excitement3.0 [1205] MVPKelly Olynyk (MIA): +7.6%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback1.0 [661] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -9.3%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Holland0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
London Perrantes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ante Zizic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodney Hood-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.000.081356%-0.0100.001100%0.00
George Hill-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02343%0.002-0.03850%-0.02
JR Smith-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Love-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.00220%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.000.04861%-0.023-0.042100%0.00
Jordan Clarkson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.021342%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.051023%-0.041-0.02250%-0.00
LeBron James-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.130.01-0.031844%0.006-0.09580%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.010.08983%0.091-0.01540%-0.02
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.001165%0.072-0.011100%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.02560%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jordan Mickey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02650%0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Luke Babbitt00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03935%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.051150%0.054-0.062100%0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.041354%0.011-0.022100%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01862%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01544%-0.012-0.02683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.33.428.615.326.42.832.3138.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +45.9%
MIA +2.7%
CLE -0.4%
MIA +2.6%
CLE -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMIANBACLEMIANBA
this game16.214.814.784.9105.4107.5
season14.815.1111.2105.4
opponent14.614.7105.8110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.816.316.015.716.2
MIA12.014.416.716.414.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Holland660.00-0.500.50-0.062-21239.716.7-7.0013.314.9-1.52
London Perrantes660.00-0.500.50-0.062-21239.716.7-7.0013.314.9-1.52
Ante Zizic660.00-0.500.50-0.062-21239.716.7-7.0013.314.9-1.52
Jose Calderon5050-0.10-0.400.29-0.131-202115.816.7-0.9014.515.0-0.50
George Hill4950-0.14-0.360.210.00-5-14917.215.12.0915.214.21.01
Tristan Thompson3536-0.17-0.330.17-0.170-191914.317.4-3.0515.114.50.63
Kevin Love1313-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-8-318.215.92.2515.514.60.91
Larry Nance Jr.3534-0.21-0.290.070.11-11-8-317.815.32.5414.115.2-1.09
Jeff Green6061-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-7-12516.216.3-0.0914.814.70.10
JR Smith3130-0.31-0.19-0.130.13-15-4-1116.516.00.5015.014.70.32
Rodney Hood4949-0.35-0.15-0.190.15-17-2-1516.715.71.0614.315.2-0.86
LeBron James7473-0.38-0.12-0.270.17-190-1916.714.42.3214.415.9-1.46
Jordan Clarkson5151-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-17-2-1516.416.00.3515.713.62.07

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow51490.410.090.32-0.031541114.814.70.1615.816.7-0.84
Kelly Olynyk47490.360.140.22-0.201901914.415.1-0.6216.915.51.36
Dwyane Wade31350.340.160.18-0.3022-32514.714.8-0.1117.915.22.68
James Johnson63640.330.170.15-0.141631313.916.6-2.6816.315.90.41
Josh Richardson57590.320.180.14-0.181721514.714.8-0.0916.815.21.59
Wayne Ellington42410.290.210.080.17415-1116.413.43.0616.715.80.92
Goran Dragic58550.160.34-0.180.04415-1114.914.60.2916.415.90.45
Tyler Johnson58570.150.35-0.190.21-221-2314.615.0-0.4415.517.4-1.87
Jordan Mickey46440.140.36-0.220.14019-1915.114.40.6215.516.9-1.36
Luke Babbitt440.000.50-0.500.00019-1913.714.8-1.0510.216.5-6.23
Rodney McGruder440.000.50-0.500.00019-1913.714.8-1.0510.216.5-6.23
Derrick Jones Jr.440.000.50-0.500.00019-1913.714.8-1.0510.216.5-6.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 82, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
UTA 84, PHX 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
ORL 93, MIA 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,197.3%