NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	93		Excitement	3.0 [1182]		MVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): +11.6%
Miami Heat	100		Comeback	1.2 [1003]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -11.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.22	0.00	0.13	15	79%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	48%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	57%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Victor Oladipo	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	23	52%	0.04	4	-0.07	12	67%	-0.02
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	-0.05	14	17%	-0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.00	0.04	14	73%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	15	42%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	21	45%	0.03	5	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.3	15.6	30.3	2.4	35.4	139.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +32.7%

MIA +10.7%

MIA +8.4%

ORL -2.8%

MIA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIA	NBA	ORL	MIA	NBA
this game	12.8	17.8	15.1	100.0	105.3	104.2
season	14.9	16.0		100.4	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.4	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.8	15.6	11.9	11.0	12.8
MIA	18.5	16.4	17.4	19.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-18	29	11.0	13.4	-2.32	19.0	17.4	1.52
Andrew Nicholson	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	17.5	12.4	5.06	22.1	17.5	4.67
Dewayne Dedmon	25	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-5	3	11.8	13.1	-1.32	16.0	18.5	-2.49
Nikola Vucevic	38	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	3	-13	13.7	12.1	1.65	17.6	18.0	-0.42
Maurice Harkless	39	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-9	11	11.3	13.8	-2.55	18.5	17.4	1.09
Willie Green	39	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	0	-7	13.0	12.6	0.45	16.8	18.6	-1.87
Aaron Gordon	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	6	-19	14.0	10.3	3.76	17.5	18.4	-0.88
Elfrid Payton	76	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-6	5	12.5	14.1	-1.66	17.3	20.2	-2.96
Victor Oladipo	80	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-5	3	12.8	12.6	0.17	18.4	13.9	4.52
Tobias Harris	76	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	0	-7	12.6	13.3	-0.65	18.2	15.9	2.27

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	78	77	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-2	11	17.5	19.4	-1.87	12.1	15.8	-3.68
James Ennis	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	-3	13	17.9	17.7	0.25	13.2	11.8	1.36
Hassan Whiteside	71	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-2	11	17.8	17.7	0.10	12.8	12.7	0.09
Luol Deng	80	78	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	2	3	17.7	18.7	-1.00	12.0	16.6	-4.57
Mario Chalmers	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	-1	9	17.8	17.8	0.04	14.4	11.7	2.71
Dwyane Wade	68	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	10	-13	18.0	17.3	0.68	12.3	13.9	-1.67
Michael Beasley	15	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	18.7	17.7	1.00	16.6	12.0	4.57
Chris Andersen	18	18	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.13	-1	8	-9	18.9	17.6	1.32	14.7	12.3	2.43
Udonis Haslem	34	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	8	-9	17.9	17.8	0.19	11.4	13.5	-2.11
Tyler Johnson	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	10	-13	15.8	18.0	-2.26	12.8	12.8	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 79, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHA 68, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%