NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	2.8 [1173]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (DET): +9.3%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.2 [610]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -8.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	9	77%	0.05	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Slater	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	8%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick Dial	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	59%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	14	46%	0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	9	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	37%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	7	94%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	83%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	13	56%	0.03	4	-0.04	17	76%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.01	4	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Dana Barros	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	26.3	16.4	24.4	2.5	29.6	125.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.1%

DET +6.0%

NJN -0.2%

DET +9.7%

DET +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.6	91.7	106.2	102.3
season	14.7	15.7		101.4	101.9
opponent	15.8	16.0		99.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	15.6	17.3	12.4	15.0
DET	15.6	12.7	16.2	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	3	3	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-17	20	9.3	15.2	-5.83	12.7	15.1	-2.43
Brandon Armstrong	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-19	24	13.1	15.3	-2.19	15.5	14.9	0.56
Todd MacCulloch	24	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-13	12	16.4	14.5	1.86	17.7	14.0	3.61
Derrick Dial	44	43	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-12	10	14.1	15.7	-1.64	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Jason Collins	42	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-11	8	14.7	15.2	-0.51	13.9	15.9	-2.07
Kerry Kittles	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-10	6	15.9	14.2	1.69	16.2	14.0	2.19
Keith Van Horn	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-3	-8	17.7	13.0	4.68	15.7	14.6	1.12
Aaron Williams	59	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	13.8	16.8	-2.94	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Lucious Harris	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	-1	-12	15.3	14.8	0.53	13.1	16.1	-3.04
Richard Jefferson	52	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-1	-12	14.1	16.0	-1.93	12.9	17.8	-4.96
Jason Kidd	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	0	-14	15.2	14.6	0.66	15.8	13.8	2.08
Kenyon Martin	67	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-5	-4	15.0	15.0	-0.08	16.5	11.9	4.59

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	77	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	2	10	15.2	14.4	0.81	14.3	17.8	-3.44
Ben Wallace	79	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	4	6	15.3	13.6	1.67	15.4	13.3	2.03
Chucky Atkins	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	13.8	16.1	-2.26	16.0	14.1	1.84
Jerry Stackhouse	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	5	4	15.5	13.9	1.68	14.3	16.5	-2.26
Corliss Williamson	39	39	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	3	8	13.9	15.8	-1.89	15.8	14.4	1.33
Zeljko Rebraca	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	14.0	15.6	-1.59	15.6	14.6	0.92
Jon Barry	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	8	-2	13.9	15.6	-1.72	16.6	14.1	2.58
Dana Barros	52	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	10	-6	16.1	13.8	2.26	14.1	16.0	-1.84
Michael Curry	53	53	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	15.9	13.9	1.98	14.2	15.9	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
ORL 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1	97.1%
DEN 71, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%