NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	64		Excitement	2.9 [737]		MVP	Sean Elliott (SAS): +9.3%
San Antonio Spurs	85		Comeback	1.1 [692]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -12.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Don Reid	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Corey Beck	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Bison Dele	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.20	0.00	-0.09	10	26%	-0.03	5	-0.08	3	0%	-0.04
Grant Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	0.00	-0.02	21	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	0.00	-0.01	13	33%	-0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	100%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	10	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gerard King	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Gaze	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.2	17.5	28.2	1.8	29.2	132.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.7%

DET -0.2%

SAS +0.2%

SAS +3.1%

SAS +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAS	NBA	DET	SAS	NBA
this game	18.1	15.6	15.8	76.2	97.7	99.6
season	16.6	15.9		101.4	101.1
opponent	15.9	16.1		92.7	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.2	17.9	16.2	19.4	18.1
SAS	15.2	15.6	15.8	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	17	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-15	9	17.4	18.3	-0.90	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Charles O'Bannon	17	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.16	-6	-15	9	20.2	17.6	2.64	14.5	15.9	-1.40
Corey Beck	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.08	-5	-16	11	15.7	18.5	-2.88	14.2	15.8	-1.56
Loy Vaught	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-17	13	18.1	18.1	0.01	14.6	16.1	-1.52
Eric Montross	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-16	11	18.3	17.9	0.42	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Jud Buechler	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-11	1	18.4	17.8	0.58	15.3	15.9	-0.53
Bison Dele	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-7	-7	18.1	18.2	-0.07	16.2	15.0	1.26
Jerry Stackhouse	56	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-17	13	17.3	19.7	-2.43	15.9	14.9	1.09
Jerome Williams	41	42	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-8	-5	18.2	18.0	0.22	16.4	14.8	1.61
Grant Hill	66	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	-6	-9	17.4	20.7	-3.30	16.2	13.2	2.94
Lindsey Hunter	55	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	2	-25	19.5	15.6	3.89	15.4	16.1	-0.72

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	70	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	0	21	15.5	16.2	-0.72	18.7	16.2	2.50
Jerome Kersey	47	43	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	9	3	15.5	15.7	-0.24	17.5	18.8	-1.32
Jaren Jackson	46	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.21	18	3	15	14.8	16.5	-1.78	19.0	17.3	1.69
Steve Kerr	31	30	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.17	16	5	11	14.3	16.3	-2.08	19.0	17.7	1.30
Sean Elliott	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.02	9	12	-3	16.3	14.3	1.98	17.3	19.7	-2.39
Malik Rose	40	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	14	-7	15.3	15.9	-0.60	18.6	17.7	0.90
Avery Johnson	52	52	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	12	-3	16.4	14.3	2.10	18.7	17.2	1.57
Mario Elie	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	16	-11	16.7	14.3	2.40	17.8	18.6	-0.82
David Robinson	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	11	-1	16.7	15.1	1.56	18.2	18.1	0.08
Antonio Daniels	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	14.1	15.8	-1.66	15.5	18.4	-2.91
Gerard King	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	12.0	15.9	-3.86	15.2	18.4	-3.19
Andrew Gaze	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	12.0	15.9	-3.86	15.2	18.4	-3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, LAL 117	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CLE 76, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DAL 89, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%