NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	128		Excitement	5.7 [699]		MVP	Brian Scalabrine (BOS): +21.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	1.9 [252]		LVP	Tarence Kinsey (MEM): -6.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.01	8	89%	0.23	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.20	0.01	0.06	14	81%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	52%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Delonte West	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	76%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	59%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	57%	0.04	4	-0.05	9	67%	-0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.06
Gerald Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	9	94%	0.20	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	85%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	59%	0.09	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.03	0.11	14	73%	0.05	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	33.0	15.4	31.3	2.0	33.3	143.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.5%

MEM -3.1%

BOS +12.9%

BOS +8.1%

BOS +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	13.8	15.4	126.7	116.7	104.5
season	15.5	15.1		101.7	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		110.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	15.1	13.6	14.8	14.5
MEM	13.0	16.2	12.6	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	38	37	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-5	19	13.7	15.0	-1.28	16.0	12.6	3.38
Brian Scalabrine	44	45	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	15.5	13.8	1.67	15.0	12.9	2.15
Sebastian Telfair	35	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-6	21	15.1	14.2	0.89	16.2	12.7	3.54
Tony Allen	77	79	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.34	0	9	-9	14.2	15.7	-1.54	13.2	16.1	-2.90
Delonte West	78	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	7	-5	14.4	14.9	-0.49	13.0	16.8	-3.74
Gerald Green	29	29	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	-3	15	15.6	14.1	1.52	16.4	12.8	3.64
Rajon Rondo	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.07	7	2	5	16.0	14.3	1.66	18.3	13.3	4.97
Ryan Gomes	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	10	-11	13.9	15.4	-1.48	13.1	14.7	-1.59
Wally Szczerbiak	73	74	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.31	-8	17	-25	14.0	15.9	-1.83	12.5	17.5	-5.04
Al Jefferson	63	65	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	14	-19	15.0	13.7	1.28	12.6	16.0	-3.38

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	19.3	13.5	5.83	17.2	14.4	2.80
Hakim Warrick	23	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	14.5	13.6	0.88	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Dahntay Jones	27	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-5	1	13.6	13.9	-0.39	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Rudy Gay	43	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-8	7	14.0	13.7	0.35	13.5	15.3	-1.75
Stromile Swift	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-5	1	14.4	13.2	1.15	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Damon Stoudamire	59	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-5	1	13.1	14.9	-1.84	13.7	15.6	-1.87
Chucky Atkins	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	14.9	13.1	1.84	15.6	13.7	1.87
Mike Miller	94	92	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-10	11	13.6	17.1	-3.56	14.5	14.7	-0.14
Alexander Johnson	49	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	13.2	14.4	-1.15	15.1	14.0	1.11
Pau Gasol	78	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	13.8	13.9	-0.10	14.7	14.1	0.60
Tarence Kinsey	35	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	6	-21	13.2	14.2	-0.94	15.5	14.1	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 105, PHX 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
DET 109, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0	94.2%
UTA 110, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.33,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%