inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 96 Excitement2.2 [1279] MVPQuincy Douby (SAC): +10.2%
Sacramento Kings 119 Comeback1.5 [849] LVPMike Dunleavy (GSW): -9.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith McLeod0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.100.000.10994%0.023-0.0200%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.02233%0.0000.0020%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.01533%-0.0200.002100%-0.00
Ike Diogu-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.040.000.06880%-0.015-0.014100%-0.00
Matt Barnes-0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.020.000.041350%-0.021-0.00875%-0.00
Baron Davis-0.030,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.11-0.00-0.081330%0.012-0.041100%0.00
Andris Biedrins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.01-0.01442%-0.012-0.02425%-0.04
Mickael Pietrus-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.140.00-0.081033%-0.004-0.05450%-0.01
Jason Richardson-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.00828%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Mike Dunleavy-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.031932%-0.062-0.042100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quincy Douby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.150.020.071378%0.101-0.001100%-0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.00-0.011366%0.073-0.00683%-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.01960%0.051-0.002100%0.01
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.18-0.000.141178%0.041-0.0010100%0.02
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.00-0.081538%0.031-0.00450%-0.00
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07425%0.0020.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.000.033100%0.043-0.044100%0.01
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02750%0.012-0.021275%0.01
John Salmons0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.03520%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.20.133.615.325.41.828.3131.7
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +31.7%
SAC +13.0%
GSW -6.7%
SAC +12.4%
GSW -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game13.513.515.490.6111.2104.5
season13.514.7105.7104.7
opponent15.115.2106.0105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.113.513.113.513.5
SAC12.112.712.217.813.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patrick O'Bryant770.00-0.500.50-0.093-262911.713.7-1.9418.113.24.95
Adonal Foyle2324-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-324113.513.5-0.0617.912.25.68
Ike Diogu3940-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-232313.513.5-0.0213.413.6-0.22
Mickael Pietrus5555-0.19-0.310.120.31-17-6-1114.112.91.2813.114.0-0.87
Troy Murphy4749-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-181313.014.0-1.0312.714.2-1.51
Keith McLeod5659-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.14-4-191512.614.6-1.9914.612.22.44
Andris Biedrins4746-0.29-0.21-0.090.35-22-1-2113.813.30.4712.914.0-1.09
Jason Richardson3333-0.30-0.20-0.110.14-15-8-714.213.20.9912.014.2-2.15
Baron Davis7471-0.36-0.14-0.230.31-230-2314.411.62.8213.513.5-0.02
Matt Barnes8586-0.40-0.10-0.290.25-22-1-2113.314.4-1.1212.916.1-3.27
Mike Dunleavy6465-0.45-0.05-0.390.11-19-4-1513.214.0-0.7413.513.5-0.02

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Garcia77780.59-0.090.68-0.1124-12512.915.0-2.0613.513.50.04
Quincy Douby67650.490.010.47-0.162212113.613.40.1013.114.3-1.21
Shareef Abdur-Rahim58570.400.100.30-0.131851314.312.61.6313.114.0-0.84
Mike Bibby73740.350.150.21-0.4126-32912.116.6-4.5913.813.00.80
Kevin Martin69680.350.150.20-0.031310312.914.6-1.6113.513.6-0.12
Corliss Williamson50480.290.210.09-0.201761114.912.32.6013.413.7-0.28
Brad Miller49490.100.40-0.30-0.05518-1312.614.3-1.6314.013.10.84
John Salmons40410.010.49-0.47-0.02122-2113.413.6-0.1014.313.11.21
Ronnie Price25240.000.50-0.500.29-1033-4317.112.44.7113.013.7-0.74
Metta World Peace2726-0.090.59-0.68-0.06-124-2514.713.11.5413.713.50.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 94, OKC 1280.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
IND 92, MIA 1170.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
WAS 85, CHH 1180.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%