NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	85		Excitement	2.1 [1240]		MVP	Brad Miller (CHH): +3.2%
Charlotte Hornets	118		Comeback	1.5 [1161]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -9.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	17	41%	-0.01	3	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0.04	7	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	-0.01	4	-0.04	6	100%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.09	13	31%	-0.05	4	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	10	42%	-0.02	5	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	8	72%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	42%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	19	47%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	12	38%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	8	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	63%	-0.01	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.02	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	50%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	31.2	14.8	28.2	2.3	31.3	135.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +22.0%

CHH +9.8%

CHH +1.5%

CHH +16.7%

WAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHH	NBA	WAS	CHH	NBA
this game	13.9	12.9	15.2	78.7	110.3	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		101.1	101.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		99.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	16.4	13.8	10.9	13.9
CHH	13.0	12.4	15.0	11.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	27	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-30	27	10.7	15.0	-4.31	10.7	13.6	-2.85
Gerard King	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-28	23	10.9	15.4	-4.49	12.2	13.3	-1.11
Richard Hamilton	59	58	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.47	-19	-14	-5	13.7	14.1	-0.37	12.1	13.8	-1.64
Juwan Howard	55	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	-25	17	15.1	12.6	2.50	13.5	12.3	1.27
Chris Whitney	31	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-31	29	12.4	14.5	-2.12	13.7	12.5	1.19
Michael Smith	47	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.45	-21	-12	-9	16.0	12.3	3.72	12.6	13.1	-0.42
Ike Austin	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-26	19	15.1	12.9	2.13	14.4	11.6	2.73
Jahidi White	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.28	-19	-14	-5	12.3	15.3	-3.05	11.9	13.8	-1.93
Aaron Williams	27	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-23	13	13.5	14.0	-0.56	13.8	12.6	1.19
Rod Strickland	65	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.44	-27	-6	-21	15.3	11.7	3.62	13.2	12.4	0.77
Mitch Richmond	41	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	-15	-3	14.2	13.7	0.48	13.7	12.4	1.25
Tracy Murray	52	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.34	-26	-7	-19	14.2	13.6	0.64	12.5	13.3	-0.75

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Phills	48	48	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.26	26	7	19	12.7	13.0	-0.33	15.3	12.8	2.51
Brad Miller	45	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.29	21	12	9	12.7	13.0	-0.27	14.4	13.5	0.86
Baron Davis	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.40	25	8	17	11.9	14.0	-2.01	13.3	14.5	-1.23
Ricky Davis	50	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.45	26	7	19	11.2	14.4	-3.21	13.4	14.3	-0.92
Todd Fuller	39	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	18	-3	12.1	13.4	-1.32	12.4	14.8	-2.34
Elden Campbell	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.31	18	15	3	13.4	12.1	1.32	14.8	12.4	2.34
Eddie Jones	57	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	26	-19	14.4	11.2	3.21	14.3	13.4	0.92
Anthony Mason	47	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	25	-17	14.1	11.9	2.21	14.6	13.3	1.34
David Wesley	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	25	-17	14.0	11.9	2.01	14.5	13.3	1.23
Eddie Robinson	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	26	-19	9.2	13.6	-4.34	9.0	14.8	-5.81
Michael Hawkins	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	29	-25	9.0	13.4	-4.38	9.6	14.5	-4.87
Derrick Coleman	45	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	33	-33	14.4	11.8	2.53	14.2	13.7	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, OKC 128	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
PHX 90, SAC 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 91, CHA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%