NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	1.3 [1024]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +13.4%
Dallas Mavericks	97		Comeback	1.2 [857]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -15.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.03	10	64%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Adam Morrison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.04	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Melvin Ely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	31%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	13	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	39%	-0.03	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Primoz Brezec	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	15	34%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	15	66%	0.14	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	19	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	1	25%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	32.0	16.8	25.3	1.6	28.6	130.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.5%

DAL +6.4%

CHA -2.0%

CHA -1.0%

DAL +11.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	DAL	NBA	CHA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	17.2	15.4	95.5	110.2	104.5
season	15.7	16.3		101.7	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		102.3	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.6	13.8	17.1	16.9	15.5
DAL	17.3	15.0	17.2	19.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	13.2	15.6	-2.36	18.5	17.2	1.33
Walter Herrmann	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	14.1	15.6	-1.51	21.3	16.8	4.57
Melvin Ely	41	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.07	-1	-12	11	14.6	16.3	-1.67	18.2	16.3	1.89
Matt Carroll	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-5	-3	17.0	14.1	2.89	16.6	17.8	-1.18
Primoz Brezec	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-5	-3	15.3	15.6	-0.22	16.1	17.7	-1.56
Derek Anderson	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-9	5	14.7	15.8	-1.15	17.4	17.2	0.20
Jake Voskuhl	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-8	3	16.5	14.8	1.70	18.5	16.3	2.27
Raymond Felton	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-5	-3	15.6	15.2	0.35	17.4	16.7	0.63
Gerald Wallace	66	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	15.5	15.4	0.18	16.7	18.5	-1.81
Emeka Okafor	68	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	15.4	15.7	-0.26	16.7	18.9	-2.24
Adam Morrison	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	6	-25	15.1	16.2	-1.11	16.8	17.8	-1.00

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	43	45	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-3	19	16.0	18.4	-2.35	16.2	14.7	1.52
Anthony Johnson	22	23	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-2	17	17.6	17.1	0.48	17.2	14.9	2.27
Dirk Nowitzki	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	0	13	17.5	16.5	0.91	16.3	13.4	2.86
Josh Howard	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	0	13	18.0	15.5	2.52	16.5	13.0	3.55
Devin Harris	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	1	11	16.3	18.5	-2.22	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Greg Buckner	43	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	13	-13	16.0	18.4	-2.35	13.8	17.0	-3.23
Devean George	44	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	10	-7	17.1	17.4	-0.32	13.9	17.2	-3.30
Austin Croshere	14	15	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	14	-15	16.2	17.4	-1.20	11.7	16.3	-4.54
Jason Terry	50	50	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	11	-9	17.8	16.5	1.28	16.2	14.6	1.62
DeSagana Diop	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	13	-13	19.0	15.8	3.20	15.1	15.9	-0.81
DJ Mbenga	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	18.0	17.2	0.80	15.5	15.5	-0.00
Jose Juan Barea	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	18.0	17.2	0.80	15.5	15.5	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 86, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
NOH 86, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%