NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	86		Excitement	4.5 [892]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +9.0%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	1.4 [1089]		LVP	P.J. Brown (NOH): -17.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	12	64%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	55%	-0.03	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	13	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	5	8%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	11	29%	-0.11	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	23	57%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.20	-0.02	-0.07	10	17%	-0.12	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	29.2	17.7	24.0	1.5	26.7	123.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.4%

DAL +9.8%

NOH -6.7%

DAL +25.0%

NOH -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DAL	NBA	NOH	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.5	94.5	103.3	101.6
season	15.9	15.1		101.6	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		102.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.7	16.3	16.7	14.9	15.6
DAL	16.0	15.0	15.2	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Alexander	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-15	21	14.8	16.0	-1.23	17.2	15.2	1.98
Robert Traylor	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-13	17	14.7	16.1	-1.36	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Robert Pack	22	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-13	17	14.9	15.9	-1.03	17.1	15.4	1.68
George Lynch	48	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.4	14.9	1.49	15.9	15.7	0.20
Kenny Anderson	20	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-1	-7	16.5	15.4	1.16	13.1	16.5	-3.50
Jamaal Magloire	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	16.3	14.9	1.47	16.6	14.9	1.65
P.J. Brown	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	15.7	15.5	0.18	15.8	15.9	-0.14
Baron Davis	66	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.14	-16	7	-23	15.6	15.9	-0.32	16.3	14.4	1.90
Jerome Moiso	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	15.4	15.9	-0.43	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Jamal Mashburn	66	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	1	-11	15.9	15.0	0.89	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Stacey Augmon	32	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-6	3	14.9	16.0	-1.10	14.3	16.6	-2.27

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	48	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	-4	17	15.2	16.5	-1.38	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Dirk Nowitzki	65	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.12	18	-9	27	15.5	16.5	-0.98	15.8	15.2	0.69
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	42	41	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	6	-3	15.7	15.9	-0.16	14.5	16.6	-2.07
Shawn Bradley	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-2	13	15.7	15.9	-0.16	16.7	14.7	2.03
Eduardo Najera	71	69	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	12	-15	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.9	14.9	1.03
Evan Eschmeyer	32	30	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	1	7	16.2	15.6	0.60	14.0	16.5	-2.46
Steve Nash	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-2	13	16.9	13.9	2.99	16.1	14.8	1.25
Adrian Griffin	52	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	3	3	15.7	16.0	-0.35	16.3	14.7	1.66
Avery Johnson	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	15.5	15.9	-0.42	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Raja Bell	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	15.0	15.9	-0.90	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Raef LaFrentz	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	16	-23	16.3	15.6	0.76	15.7	15.6	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, ORL 121	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAC 82, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
OKC 90, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%