NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	6.3 [575]		MVP	Erick Dampier (DAL): +23.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	5.7 [445]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): -12.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	11	71%	0.27	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Devean George	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.06	-0.04	6	93%	0.18	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.01	15	47%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.03	6	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	55%	0.06	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	17	58%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	17	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	54%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Sene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Desmon Farmer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andreas Glyniadakis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	9	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	0.02	5	58%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.0	29.1	17.7	29.2	2.8	36.3	148.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +3.9%

DAL +29.0%

DAL +4.2%

DAL +7.9%

DAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SEA	NBA	DAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.4	113.2	106.7	104.5
season	16.3	15.4		108.7	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		108.3	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	18.6	15.5	15.2	15.9
SEA	13.1	15.7	21.2	15.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	63	62	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.15	22	-14	36	16.2	15.1	1.08	16.8	14.6	2.18
Devean George	42	44	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-9	26	15.7	16.0	-0.31	19.3	13.0	6.32
Jason Terry	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-7	22	15.8	16.0	-0.18	16.8	13.4	3.46
Erick Dampier	61	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-4	16	17.2	13.0	4.21	17.1	13.8	3.25
Josh Howard	74	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	-1	10	16.0	15.3	0.69	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Greg Buckner	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.31	-7	15	-22	16.3	15.7	0.68	14.4	16.9	-2.43
DeSagana Diop	30	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	12	-16	13.0	17.2	-4.21	13.8	17.1	-3.25
DJ Mbenga	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	14	-20	7.3	16.1	-8.81	4.0	16.6	-12.57
Anthony Johnson	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	9	-10	16.6	15.8	0.78	15.9	16.2	-0.28
Jerry Stackhouse	42	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	15	-22	14.7	16.9	-2.17	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Austin Croshere	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	12	-16	20.1	15.3	4.77	12.0	16.7	-4.67
Dirk Nowitzki	22	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	14	-20	15.5	16.0	-0.47	12.9	17.2	-4.30

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	57	61	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-13	18	16.1	16.2	-0.02	15.9	15.7	0.18
Desmon Farmer	3	4	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-9	10	13.3	16.2	-2.91	17.5	15.8	1.72
Mike Wilks	12	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-9	10	14.6	16.4	-1.81	15.8	15.9	-0.03
Mouhamed Sene	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	4.7	16.7	-11.93	8.2	16.3	-8.10
Andreas Glyniadakis	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	15.0	16.3	-1.26	17.4	15.7	1.76
Rashard Lewis	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-4	0	17.0	16.1	0.87	22.5	15.7	6.79
Johan Petro	48	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-6	4	16.2	16.0	0.18	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Earl Watson	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-6	4	15.5	18.3	-2.84	15.4	17.5	-2.10
Nick Collison	35	32	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	5	-18	18.0	14.9	3.06	17.7	14.8	2.92
Damien Wilkins	53	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	1	-10	16.3	16.0	0.29	16.4	15.1	1.33
Luke Ridnour	76	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	0	-8	16.4	14.6	1.79	15.9	15.8	0.03
Mickael Gelabale	78	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	2	-12	16.5	13.5	3.07	15.2	19.9	-4.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.27,0.15,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NOH 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.01,0	91.9%
POR 109, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.16,0	91.7%
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	91.5%