NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	109		Excitement	7.1 [431]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +19.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Comeback	12.8 [68]		LVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): -7.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19	0.02	0.20	0.02	15	53%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Allen Crabbe	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	9	61%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	10	70%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	68%	0.09	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.08
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	7	84%	0.11	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	17	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	80%	0.08	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Mason Plumlee	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	6	69%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.02	21	64%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	79%	0.18	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	40%	-0.01	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	30.4	15.4	25.5	2.6	41.4	143.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +60.0%

MIN -7.2%

POR +3.7%

MIN -5.8%

MIN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	14.9	113.5	107.3	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		107.1	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.6		108.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.5	15.8	13.9	15.3	15.3
MIN	14.8	13.0	13.3	18.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	70	70	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.15	14	-8	22	15.7	14.3	1.42	14.9	14.1	0.74
Meyers Leonard	43	44	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	5	-4	15.7	15.0	0.68	16.2	13.3	2.94
Damian Lillard	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	-1	8	15.1	16.3	-1.27	14.3	15.8	-1.45
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	-2	10	14.3	16.9	-2.52	14.4	15.0	-0.53
Ed Davis	53	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.26	2	4	-2	15.7	14.9	0.83	16.0	13.1	2.87
Noah Vonleh	32	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-3	12	14.7	15.7	-1.03	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Allen Crabbe	44	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	14.7	15.9	-1.22	14.9	14.5	0.38
Gerald Henderson	33	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	5	-4	16.2	14.9	1.32	15.5	14.2	1.22
Mason Plumlee	50	50	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	5	-4	15.9	14.7	1.20	13.2	16.2	-3.00
Tim Frazier	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	3.0	15.5	-12.47	0.0	14.7	-14.66
Maurice Harkless	21	21	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.11	-12	18	-30	16.4	15.1	1.33	12.6	15.2	-2.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	48	50	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-8	10	14.0	15.3	-1.31	15.7	15.0	0.70
Kevin Garnett	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-2	-2	13.3	15.3	-2.06	16.9	14.6	2.26
Adreian Payne	22	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-5	4	14.9	14.6	0.33	14.0	15.7	-1.66
Nemanja Bjelica	27	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-7	8	14.7	14.6	0.07	14.3	15.8	-1.53
Shabazz Muhammad	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-5	4	13.5	15.0	-1.49	15.6	15.3	0.35
Andrew Wiggins	80	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.3	1.61	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Karl-Anthony Towns	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	0	-6	14.8	14.4	0.35	15.5	14.9	0.61
Zach LaVine	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.5	14.0	1.47	15.7	15.0	0.73
Gorgui Dieng	47	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-6	6	15.4	14.0	1.42	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Tayshaun Prince	26	24	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	4	-14	14.5	14.7	-0.27	14.3	15.7	-1.40
Ricky Rubio	68	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	2	-10	14.7	14.6	0.12	15.2	15.6	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	93.0%
ATL 102, CHA 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.09,0	92.5%
WAS 98, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.02,0	92.2%