NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	5.7 [700]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +27.4%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	1.1 [1073]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -11.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	18	62%	0.26	4	-0.08	17	82%	0.07
Sasha Vujacic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.04
Brian Cook	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	100%	0.13	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Luke Walton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	13	38%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.12	-0.02	15	68%	0.31	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.06	-0.03	19	66%	0.29	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	87%	0.14	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	14	61%	0.05	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.04
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	4	55%	0.02	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	3.0	36.3	18.0	36.3	2.8	34.5	154.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +51.4%

LAL -3.2%

DAL +3.4%

LAL -10.0%

DAL +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.4	108.6	115.8	104.5
season	15.3	16.3		106.3	108.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		102.3	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	16.1	14.4	13.8	14.9
DAL	15.9	15.9	15.6	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	20	21	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-20	31	13.9	15.2	-1.28	19.2	14.7	4.45
Maurice Evans	27	28	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-16	23	13.6	15.4	-1.85	15.9	15.7	0.19
Ronny Turiaf	27	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-16	23	13.1	15.6	-2.53	16.9	15.2	1.73
Sasha Vujacic	16	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-13	17	14.1	15.1	-1.02	19.6	14.8	4.79
Smush Parker	49	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-7	5	14.4	15.5	-1.09	14.9	16.7	-1.78
Andrew Bynum	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-9	9	12.3	15.7	-3.39	17.2	15.3	1.95
Kobe Bryant	85	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	15.1	13.2	1.81	15.5	17.6	-2.09
Jordan Farmar	44	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	15.5	14.4	1.09	16.7	14.9	1.78
Vladimir Radmanovic	37	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	8	-25	16.4	13.9	2.54	13.4	17.2	-3.81
Kwame Brown	58	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	10	-29	16.3	12.6	3.74	15.1	16.7	-1.65
Luke Walton	80	82	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.10	-24	15	-39	15.2	13.2	2.03	14.8	21.4	-6.56

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	82	79	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.14	19	-10	29	15.5	17.5	-2.01	15.3	12.9	2.41
Erick Dampier	57	55	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-6	21	14.9	17.0	-2.12	15.2	14.4	0.82
Josh Howard	83	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-6	21	15.8	15.4	0.35	15.2	13.2	1.99
Jason Terry	82	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	0	9	15.7	15.6	0.13	15.5	11.1	4.45
Devean George	50	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	4	1	15.4	16.0	-0.60	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Devin Harris	46	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	0	9	15.7	15.7	-0.02	14.6	15.2	-0.63
DJ Mbenga	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	9.0	15.9	-6.87	5.0	15.0	-10.01
Maurice Ager	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	9.0	15.9	-6.87	5.0	15.1	-10.12
DeSagana Diop	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	15	-21	17.9	14.7	3.18	14.9	14.9	0.05
Anthony Johnson	2	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	25.0	15.5	9.47	15.7	14.9	0.79
Greg Buckner	38	38	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.19	-15	24	-39	16.3	15.3	0.98	12.9	16.3	-3.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 89, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.9,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 83, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.5%
PHX 112, LAL 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%