NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	79		Excitement	3.5 [1107]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +12.0%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.0 [789]		LVP	Devin Harris (DAL): -7.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	60%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	19	54%	0.08	5	-0.10	10	70%	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Devean George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	9%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Greg Buckner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	25	55%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	11	75%	0.13	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	5	53%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	2.5	29.5	15.6	28.0	2.5	31.2	140.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.2%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +16.1%

UTA +1.1%

UTA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.7	15.2	15.4	87.8	111.0	104.5
season	16.3	15.9		108.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.9	14.9	16.5	18.8	16.7
UTA	17.4	14.5	14.2	14.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Juan Barea	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-26	30	15.7	16.7	-0.99	16.1	15.1	1.04
Maurice Ager	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-22	22	18.6	16.4	2.22	15.2	15.2	-0.03
DJ Mbenga	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-19	16	17.1	16.5	0.57	16.1	14.9	1.25
Anthony Johnson	18	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-17	12	18.0	16.3	1.68	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Greg Buckner	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-23	24	15.2	18.0	-2.86	15.2	15.1	0.12
DeSagana Diop	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-19	16	15.3	17.9	-2.55	15.2	15.1	0.06
Erick Dampier	27	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.23	-16	-6	-10	18.4	15.9	2.56	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Josh Howard	50	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.25	-17	-5	-12	17.4	15.7	1.63	14.9	15.5	-0.57
Devean George	60	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-15	8	15.9	18.2	-2.27	15.6	14.5	1.08
Devin Harris	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.28	-20	-2	-18	16.8	16.5	0.27	14.9	15.4	-0.52
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.10	-20	-2	-18	16.6	16.9	-0.28	15.6	13.8	1.86
Jason Terry	57	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	2	-26	17.2	15.7	1.51	14.9	15.6	-0.75

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.29	28	-6	34	15.1	15.4	-0.33	17.1	14.8	2.35
Deron Williams	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.25	23	-1	24	14.3	17.6	-3.29	17.3	14.7	2.69
Mehmet Okur	49	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	6	10	13.9	16.7	-2.81	17.9	15.2	2.70
Derek Fisher	49	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	10	2	15.5	14.8	0.72	17.1	16.2	0.94
Andrei Kirilenko	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	2	18	15.3	15.0	0.25	17.1	15.5	1.63
Matt Harpring	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	10	2	14.9	15.5	-0.59	16.2	17.2	-1.05
Jarron Collins	42	42	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	16	-10	16.7	13.9	2.81	15.2	17.9	-2.70
Dee Brown	25	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	23	-24	17.6	14.3	3.29	14.7	17.3	-2.69
Paul Millsap	28	27	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	22	-22	14.3	15.6	-1.29	15.9	17.0	-1.04
CJ Miles	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	17.0	15.0	1.95	12.6	16.9	-4.29
Ronnie Brewer	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	17.0	15.0	1.95	12.6	16.9	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 108, PHX 125	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CHA 83, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
CLE 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	96.2%