NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	4.0 [1026]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +14.0%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	1.1 [1196]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -14.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Viktor Khryapa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.19	0.01	0.10	10	81%	0.09	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	11	74%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	11	48%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	13	40%	-0.01	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	0.00	11	27%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.01	-0.04	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	6	83%	0.11	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	14	57%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	13	57%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	79%	0.08	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	30.0	15.4	26.4	2.4	31.2	132.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.1%

PHX +6.8%

POR -8.9%

PHX +25.2%

PHX +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	13.9	15.6	109.1	125.0	104.4
season	16.6	13.8		99.4	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.7		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	15.2	15.3	14.2	15.1
PHX	12.8	13.6	15.3	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	38	38	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-20	23	13.6	16.0	-2.39	14.0	13.8	0.16
Brian Skinner	41	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-12	7	12.9	16.6	-3.62	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Jarrett Jack	47	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-6	-5	14.4	15.6	-1.15	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Juan Dixon	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	-8	-1	13.6	16.3	-2.70	13.9	13.9	0.06
Travis Outlaw	62	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	14.0	16.7	-2.68	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Steve Blake	57	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-13	9	15.4	14.6	0.83	14.3	13.3	1.03
Sebastian Telfair	54	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-9	1	16.3	13.6	2.70	13.9	13.9	-0.06
Zach Randolph	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-3	-11	16.4	14.0	2.45	13.4	14.3	-0.92
Joel Przybilla	38	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	-4	-9	17.1	13.8	3.25	14.4	13.6	0.88
Viktor Khryapa	69	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	1	-19	16.2	12.5	3.71	14.0	13.8	0.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.19	26	-9	35	14.0	13.8	0.20	16.0	13.6	2.43
Steve Nash	53	53	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	-6	29	14.0	13.8	0.25	16.7	13.2	3.51
Shawn Marion	56	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-1	19	14.1	13.7	0.39	16.4	13.3	3.08
Boris Diaw	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	0	17	13.9	13.7	0.25	15.2	14.4	0.85
Amar'e Stoudemire	37	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	2	13	14.3	13.7	0.63	16.6	14.1	2.48
Tim Thomas	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	7	3	13.7	14.0	-0.31	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Leandro Barbosa	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	11	-5	14.0	13.7	0.30	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Pat Burke	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	13.7	13.9	-0.17	11.5	15.5	-4.05
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	13.7	13.9	-0.17	11.5	15.5	-4.05
Eddie House	47	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	23	-29	13.8	14.0	-0.25	13.2	16.7	-3.51
James Jones	36	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	24	-31	13.1	14.4	-1.32	13.4	16.0	-2.55
Brian Grant	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	22	-27	14.0	13.9	0.11	12.9	15.3	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 79, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
CHA 83, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
TOR 64, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%