NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	76		Excitement	5.2 [800]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +11.3%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	2.0 [964]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -15.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Chucky Atkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	0.01	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.04
Stromile Swift	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.04	10	25%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	16	68%	0.18	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.04
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.09	15	53%	0.12	5	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	7	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	10	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	21%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	36.4	16.5	25.3	1.8	33.2	141.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.7%

MEM -9.6%

HOU +10.3%

HOU +1.0%

MEM -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	HOU	NBA	MEM	HOU	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.4	86.4	96.6	104.5
season	15.1	15.6		105.1	103.6
opponent	15.7	15.1		99.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.9	15.5	18.3	14.1	16.2
HOU	14.4	16.5	16.0	19.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	33	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.19	7	-16	23	14.8	17.0	-2.28	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Alexander Johnson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	6.7	16.5	-9.85	17.0	16.5	0.47
Brian Cardinal	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-14	19	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.0	17.3	-2.31
Jake Tsakalidis	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-11	13	15.8	16.3	-0.55	18.0	16.0	2.00
Stromile Swift	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-2	-5	17.1	15.5	1.64	17.5	15.8	1.72
Damon Stoudamire	34	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-8	7	17.0	15.7	1.29	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Lawrence Roberts	34	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	0	-9	15.9	16.4	-0.49	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Rudy Gay	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	16.8	14.9	1.87	15.9	18.0	-2.15
Chucky Atkins	57	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	2	-13	15.6	17.2	-1.61	17.1	15.6	1.50
Hakim Warrick	57	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.00	-16	7	-23	16.7	15.3	1.43	16.9	15.9	0.99
Mike Miller	75	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	1	-11	16.4	14.8	1.66	16.8	15.2	1.60

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	45	48	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.13	29	-20	49	15.5	17.7	-2.21	18.2	13.7	4.46
Tracy McGrady	72	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.11	19	-10	29	16.5	16.7	-0.17	17.1	12.2	4.88
Rafer Alston	60	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-1	11	15.9	17.8	-1.87	16.5	15.6	0.90
Shane Battier	74	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-1	11	16.7	15.8	0.90	16.5	14.5	2.00
Yao Ming	64	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	17.4	14.2	3.21	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Steve Novak	6	5	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	7	-5	15.0	16.7	-1.66	16.8	16.1	0.66
Scott Padgett	26	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	13	-17	17.2	16.3	0.92	14.5	17.0	-2.47
Luther Head	44	44	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	16	-23	18.0	15.1	2.95	13.9	18.5	-4.59
Dikembe Mutombo	16	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	12	-15	15.3	16.8	-1.51	15.8	16.3	-0.48
Juwan Howard	13	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	16	-23	15.7	16.7	-1.00	15.5	16.3	-0.73
Vassilis Spanoulis	20	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	18	-27	15.4	16.9	-1.42	14.8	16.5	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHA 83, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIA 81, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%