NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	5.0 [799]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +24.4%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.8 [659]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -16.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.21	0.04	-0.00	15	94%	0.34	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	5	33%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	55%	-0.02	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	-0.03	-0.04	19	39%	-0.01	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	15	69%	0.17	1	0.00	9	78%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.03	14	74%	0.18	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	13	53%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	6	65%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	1	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.01	6	21%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	3	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	52.2	2.6	30.9	16.4	26.1	0.8	32.4	161.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +1.0%

ATL -2.5%

UTA +23.6%

UTA +19.0%

UTA +9.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.6	15.5	102.1	119.6	101.6
season	15.1	16.3		99.5	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.5	13.8	14.4	14.3	14.3
UTA	15.5	19.8	13.8	17.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	28	28	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.10	5	-18	23	14.3	14.3	0.05	17.7	16.0	1.67
Emanual Davis	30	30	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.19	7	-20	27	14.0	14.4	-0.42	18.4	15.7	2.69
Amal McCaskill	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	11.0	14.3	-3.32	20.5	16.5	4.03
Dan Dickau	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	11.0	14.3	-3.32	20.5	16.5	4.03
Dion Glover	32	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-18	23	14.4	14.2	0.14	17.5	16.0	1.50
Theo Ratliff	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-10	7	15.4	13.6	1.82	18.5	15.4	3.16
Jason Terry	85	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-4	-5	14.1	16.0	-1.92	16.6	16.5	0.11
Alan Henderson	61	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	2	-17	13.8	15.1	-1.30	15.8	17.8	-2.01
Ira Newble	55	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	0	-13	14.5	14.0	0.45	16.1	17.2	-1.17
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	7	-27	14.2	14.6	-0.40	15.4	20.4	-5.02
Glenn Robinson	73	69	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	0.05	-24	11	-35	14.5	13.7	0.72	15.8	18.8	-3.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	76	80	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.05	22	-9	31	15.6	21.0	-5.38	14.1	15.2	-1.09
DeShawn Stevenson	55	56	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-3	19	15.0	18.9	-3.91	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Andrei Kirilenko	55	59	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	17.0	15.9	1.15	14.9	13.2	1.67
John Amaechi	24	27	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	4	5	13.7	17.5	-3.79	14.4	14.2	0.22
Mark Jackson	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	7	-1	15.8	17.0	-1.17	15.4	13.6	1.81
Matt Harpring	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	8	-3	16.6	16.5	0.01	14.1	14.6	-0.55
John Stockton	55	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	5	3	16.9	16.1	0.79	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Greg Ostertag	22	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	12	-11	16.5	16.6	-0.01	13.5	14.5	-0.96
Jarron Collins	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	11	-9	19.4	15.8	3.64	14.7	14.2	0.59
Scott Padgett	44	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.14	-8	21	-29	18.2	15.0	3.25	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Calbert Cheaney	15	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.07	-10	23	-33	21.6	15.6	6.03	14.4	14.3	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 76, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 80, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAC 98, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%