NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	83		Excitement	5.7 [674]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (CHA): +13.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	1.5 [991]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -21.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	16	68%	0.17	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.03	0.00	14	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Roberts	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	12	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	6	29%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	16	30%	-0.10	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.00	0.02	10	77%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	19	66%	0.14	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	0.01	20	47%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	10	20%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	23.7	14.8	28.4	1.6	29.2	122.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +25.1%

CHA -0.9%

LAC +2.1%

LAC +21.8%

LAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	14.9	89.2	105.4	105.1
season	15.1	14.8		105.5	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		102.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.0	15.8	14.6	15.0	15.1
LAC	16.3	16.2	14.8	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Kaminsky	37	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-20	26	15.0	15.1	-0.17	15.0	16.7	-1.77
Brian Roberts	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-19	24	16.7	14.6	2.07	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Spencer Hawes	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-19	24	16.1	14.6	1.44	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Jeremy Lamb	65	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-19	24	14.6	16.1	-1.43	16.5	15.1	1.38
Jeremy Lin	81	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	1	-16	15.2	13.9	1.33	15.6	19.5	-3.85
Cody Zeller	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	5	-24	14.6	16.1	-1.44	16.4	15.3	1.10
Kemba Walker	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	5	-24	14.6	16.7	-2.07	16.6	14.1	2.51
Marvin Williams	56	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.05	-20	6	-26	15.1	15.0	0.17	16.7	15.0	1.77
PJ Hairston	40	39	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	4	-22	15.4	14.8	0.61	16.3	15.9	0.47

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	35	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-10	34	15.7	16.3	-0.56	15.7	14.7	0.93
DeAndre Jordan	68	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.08	21	-7	28	16.2	15.7	0.54	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Chris Paul	60	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-7	28	16.2	15.7	0.48	14.8	15.5	-0.68
JJ Redick	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.17	22	-8	30	16.3	15.8	0.52	15.3	14.7	0.57
Paul Pierce	38	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	3	8	16.1	16.0	0.11	14.7	15.3	-0.57
Jamal Crawford	59	60	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	14	-14	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.8	15.6	-0.82
Wesley Johnson	43	45	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	18	-22	15.7	16.4	-0.73	15.5	14.7	0.76
Pablo Prigioni	32	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	21	-28	15.7	16.2	-0.48	15.5	14.8	0.68
Cole Aldrich	24	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.17	-7	21	-28	15.7	16.2	-0.54	16.4	14.6	1.75
Austin Rivers	45	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	25	-36	16.5	15.6	0.87	14.6	15.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 103, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.8%
MEM 76, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DAL 106, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%