NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	8.2 [242]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +23.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	9.4 [94]		LVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.15	-0.01	7	62%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	5	92%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.02	17	50%	0.16	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	48%	0.10	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Maceo Baston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	17	47%	0.08	2	-0.10	9	44%	-0.13
Rawle Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.07	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.00	6	100%	0.29	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	14	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.04
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
David Noel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	57%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	16	47%	0.04	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.05
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.11	-0.01	12	44%	-0.03	2	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	31.1	15.6	29.3	2.5	42.2	149.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +44.6%

MIL -20.1%

IND +22.6%

MIL -10.7%

IND +13.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.2	15.4	108.5	103.1	104.5
season	15.3	15.2		101.3	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.6	15.7	13.2	17.8	16.0
MIL	13.9	15.6	13.9	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	56	56	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-4	10	15.2	17.1	-1.80	14.3	14.0	0.27
Stephen Jackson	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	-2	6	16.2	15.6	0.61	13.6	15.5	-1.98
Jamaal Tinsley	60	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	1	0	15.3	17.1	-1.74	14.3	13.9	0.41
Jermaine O'Neal	77	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	4	-6	16.3	14.4	1.98	14.8	11.5	3.32
Danny Granger	63	70	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	4	-6	16.2	15.6	0.59	15.0	12.3	2.70
Darrell Armstrong	24	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-3	8	16.2	15.9	0.31	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Sarunas Jasikevicius	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-2	6	17.3	15.1	2.24	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Maceo Baston	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	-1	4	19.0	15.9	3.09	12.5	14.2	-1.74
Rawle Marshall	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	16.2	16.0	0.20	10.8	14.4	-3.60
Josh Powell	25	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	1	0	17.5	15.4	2.05	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Marquis Daniels	55	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.18	-8	10	-18	14.6	17.9	-3.28	13.7	14.9	-1.22

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Noel	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-2	2	3.0	14.3	-11.32	13.0	16.0	-3.01
Dan Gadzuric	13	12	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	0	-2	14.8	14.1	0.74	18.2	15.6	2.60
Mo Williams	63	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-10	18	14.2	14.2	-0.04	16.4	15.1	1.29
Andrew Bogut	60	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-4	6	15.1	12.8	2.34	16.2	15.6	0.63
Steve Blake	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	6	-14	14.5	14.0	0.50	14.7	16.6	-1.91
Brian Skinner	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-5	8	13.4	15.0	-1.65	14.8	17.3	-2.43
Michael Redd	79	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.41	4	-6	10	13.6	16.9	-3.36	15.4	18.3	-2.93
Ruben Patterson	71	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.30	-3	1	-4	15.3	11.3	4.01	16.3	15.0	1.30
Charlie Bell	69	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	1	-4	14.0	14.7	-0.76	15.6	16.9	-1.22
Ersan Ilyasova	49	46	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	9	-20	13.6	14.9	-1.32	17.6	14.4	3.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.53,0.27,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	92.2%
MIL 87, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.22,0,0	91.2%
NYK 109, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.46,0.06,0.02,0	91.1%