NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	6.9 [435]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +24.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	10.8 [21]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -14.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.18	0.09	0.03	9	105%	0.32	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	78%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.07	0.01	17	61%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.10	0.06	-0.02	17	48%	0.08	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	69%	0.10	5	-0.12	9	89%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	11	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	57%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	18	56%	0.14	4	-0.17	7	100%	0.05
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	14	59%	0.00	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.1	15.4	22.7	1.7	33.5	126.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +29.8%

MIL -4.4%

NYK +36.2%

MIL -12.4%

NYK +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.6	15.2	112.4	107.3	101.7
season	16.1	14.9		100.0	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.8		105.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.4	16.9	14.6	15.1	16.2
MIL	12.1	12.6	15.4	14.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	60	62	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.36	13	-7	20	15.8	16.8	-0.99	14.1	12.7	1.35
Charlie Ward	79	78	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.48	3	3	0	16.4	15.6	0.76	13.8	12.9	0.88
Allan Houston	93	91	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-2	10	16.2	16.5	-0.28	13.7	12.2	1.48
Patrick Ewing	90	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-1	8	16.3	14.7	1.63	13.3	17.4	-4.13
Latrell Sprewell	88	87	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	8	-10	16.4	14.8	1.60	13.6	13.9	-0.31
Rick Brunson	18	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.16	3	3	0	15.6	16.4	-0.76	12.9	13.8	-0.88
John Wallace	57	55	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	8	-10	16.2	16.2	0.00	13.5	13.8	-0.31

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	42	44	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.04	7	-13	20	13.9	13.4	0.49	17.3	15.3	1.96
Vinny Del Negro	40	41	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.08	0	-6	6	14.5	13.0	1.54	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Darvin Ham	12	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-6	6	13.7	13.6	0.07	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Scott Williams	59	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-3	0	14.0	12.9	1.11	17.3	14.4	2.90
Ray Allen	76	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-9	12	13.1	15.5	-2.39	16.7	14.7	2.00
Glenn Robinson	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	13.0	15.4	-2.41	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Tim Thomas	59	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	3	-12	13.8	13.2	0.63	14.9	18.3	-3.39
Ervin Johnson	43	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	2	-10	13.4	13.8	-0.42	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Sam Cassell	76	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.31	-15	9	-24	13.6	13.5	0.13	16.0	17.2	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.46,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.53,0.27,0.04,0.05,0	91.1%
PHI 102, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.01,0,0	91.1%
MEM 120, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.47,0.66,0.54,0.52,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	90.8%