NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	7.2 [412]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +19.6%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	5.3 [120]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -27.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.04	0.15	-0.01	7	57%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	11	69%	0.21	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	23	65%	0.09	5	-0.13	16	87%	0.03
Willie Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	13	31%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	15	79%	0.29	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	12	62%	0.11	5	-0.21	5	0%	-0.06
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	17	47%	-0.07	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.0	31.2	15.6	24.2	2.7	33.4	135.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.2%

PHI +21.5%

IND -12.2%

PHI +31.1%

IND -6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	13.3	16.9	15.5	107.4	93.8	104.0
season	13.9	16.8		101.1	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		101.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	13.5	11.1	14.0	13.3
IND	15.2	17.0	17.3	18.1	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	55	54	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.18	19	-7	26	13.3	13.2	0.13	17.9	15.6	2.21
Marc Jackson	56	55	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.16	18	-6	24	13.1	13.4	-0.31	17.8	15.6	2.18
Andre Iguodala	68	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	1	10	13.5	12.6	0.92	16.1	19.1	-2.97
Allen Iverson	83	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	2	8	13.7	10.2	3.53	16.8	17.6	-0.89
Kyle Korver	38	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	12.7	13.6	-0.99	18.2	16.0	2.21
Aaron McKie	8	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	16	-20	13.6	13.2	0.41	18.5	16.7	1.76
Willie Green	53	54	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	13	-14	13.0	13.6	-0.61	16.2	17.7	-1.52
Samuel Dalembert	39	41	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	18	-24	13.4	13.1	0.31	15.6	17.8	-2.18
Kenny Thomas	40	42	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.03	-7	19	-26	13.2	13.3	-0.13	15.6	17.9	-2.21

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	34	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-18	24	15.2	17.8	-2.56	13.5	13.1	0.31
Eddie Gill	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	8.0	17.0	-8.98	13.5	13.2	0.25
Anthony Johnson	49	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.20	-7	-5	-2	17.3	16.5	0.82	13.6	13.0	0.61
Marcus Haislip	3	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-12	12	17.0	16.9	0.12	15.0	13.2	1.84
Michael Curry	12	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-8	4	18.6	16.6	1.94	11.4	13.4	-2.00
David Harrison	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-10	8	17.0	16.8	0.21	13.2	13.3	-0.02
Reggie Miller	72	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	16.7	17.5	-0.87	13.7	12.0	1.68
Jeff Foster	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	17.0	16.3	0.75	13.1	13.9	-0.85
Austin Croshere	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.17	-10	-2	-8	16.7	18.1	-1.39	13.5	11.8	1.63
Fred Jones	69	69	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.16	-17	5	-22	17.5	15.3	2.16	13.0	14.0	-1.08
Jamaal Tinsley	54	56	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.34	-11	-1	-10	16.9	16.9	0.01	12.7	14.0	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 92, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.45,0.1,0.16,0	92.3%
LAC 127, BKN 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	92.1%
OKC 111, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.32,0.04,0	92.1%