NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	4.6 [912]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): +24.2%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	2.1 [647]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -12.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	12	48%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	20	44%	0.08	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.36	0.03	0.15	22	80%	0.26	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.06	-0.05	12	57%	0.18	1	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	8	25%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	12	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	15	35%	0.00	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	28.7	15.8	30.4	2.6	31.2	133.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +16.4%

WAS +7.4%

WAS +16.0%

WAS +8.1%

WAS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.4	107.6	120.7	104.5
season	16.0	14.8		103.2	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	16.2	17.0	17.1	16.5
WAS	14.7	15.1	11.3	18.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-22	32	15.9	16.6	-0.70	21.7	13.7	7.92
Shannon Brown	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-19	26	17.0	16.4	0.67	18.9	13.6	5.32
Daniel Gibson	16	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.33	10	-22	32	15.4	16.8	-1.39	19.2	13.7	5.52
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-11	10	16.7	16.4	0.28	14.3	15.3	-1.01
David Wesley	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-6	0	16.3	16.7	-0.35	14.8	14.7	0.13
Eric Snow	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-8	4	15.7	17.0	-1.33	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Drew Gooden	32	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.6	17.0	-1.47	14.5	14.9	-0.42
Anderson Varejao	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-9	6	16.8	16.1	0.78	15.1	14.4	0.68
Sasha Pavlovic	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-6	0	16.7	16.3	0.46	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Damon Jones	53	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.20	-20	8	-28	17.1	15.7	1.44	13.7	16.2	-2.46
Donyell Marshall	31	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	8	-28	16.9	16.3	0.62	13.0	15.7	-2.69
LeBron James	69	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.13	-22	10	-32	16.6	16.4	0.12	13.2	19.1	-5.90

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	77	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-14	40	13.5	21.5	-7.99	16.7	15.2	1.59
Caron Butler	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-4	20	14.4	16.6	-2.15	16.9	15.0	1.87
Etan Thomas	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	-1	14	13.6	16.0	-2.38	16.6	16.4	0.19
DeShawn Stevenson	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-1	14	14.4	15.4	-0.96	16.9	15.8	1.19
Antawn Jamison	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-1	14	14.4	15.4	-0.96	16.9	15.8	1.19
Brendan Haywood	37	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.16	9	3	6	14.7	14.8	-0.13	16.9	16.2	0.73
Jarvis Hayes	41	44	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.12	7	5	2	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Antonio Daniels	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	3	6	14.9	14.7	0.24	17.5	15.9	1.55
Michael Ruffin	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	22	-32	23.0	14.1	8.89	13.6	16.8	-3.19
Roger Mason Jr.	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	24	-36	23.0	14.1	8.89	10.2	17.0	-6.80
Andray Blatche	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	24	-36	23.0	14.1	8.89	10.2	17.0	-6.80
Donell Taylor	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	24	-36	23.0	14.1	8.89	10.2	17.0	-6.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 98, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIL 78, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%