NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	78		Excitement	5.0 [792]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +6.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	2.0 [696]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -11.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	3	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	16	55%	0.04	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	6	29%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	18	45%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	16	53%	0.03	6	-0.15	6	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.02	-0.11	35	48%	0.09	4	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	11	46%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	13	57%	0.05	5	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	8%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	30.5	15.0	23.3	2.4	29.6	127.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +5.7%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +10.0%

PHI +32.0%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.5	83.0	94.7	100.9
season	14.9	15.7		105.9	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.8		97.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	16.0	16.5	14.5	15.2
PHI	14.8	14.6	14.8	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	12.5	15.4	-2.87	15.0	15.2	-0.24
Darvin Ham	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-12	12	14.8	15.4	-0.62	17.8	14.4	3.37
Rafer Alston	25	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.13	2	-14	16	14.0	15.7	-1.64	16.2	14.9	1.37
Lindsey Hunter	47	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-4	-4	14.9	15.6	-0.70	15.6	14.9	0.78
Tim Thomas	51	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-9	6	15.0	15.5	-0.53	15.3	15.2	0.15
Mark Pope	33	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-8	4	14.9	15.4	-0.56	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Jason Caffey	45	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-6	0	14.7	15.7	-0.98	15.9	14.7	1.18
Glenn Robinson	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	15.7	14.5	1.21	14.1	16.9	-2.86
Sam Cassell	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	0	-12	15.7	14.5	1.21	14.6	16.3	-1.76
Ray Allen	70	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-1	-10	15.7	13.9	1.84	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Ervin Johnson	57	58	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	0	-12	15.8	14.5	1.29	15.2	15.3	-0.11

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	64	64	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.01	16	-4	20	14.0	17.7	-3.68	15.7	14.2	1.53
Dikembe Mutombo	68	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	-1	14	15.6	14.2	1.41	16.4	12.3	4.19
George Lynch	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	1	10	14.4	17.2	-2.76	15.9	13.6	2.33
Allen Iverson	85	84	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	1	10	15.1	16.2	-1.08	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Tyrone Hill	72	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	15.5	14.5	0.99	14.8	16.7	-1.86
Aaron McKie	54	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	2	8	15.2	15.2	-0.02	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Jumaine Jones	21	23	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	6	0	17.4	14.6	2.82	16.3	14.9	1.35
Kevin Ollie	12	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	14	-16	16.9	15.0	1.93	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Matt Geiger	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	17	-22	16.3	14.9	1.36	12.1	16.2	-4.12
Todd MacCulloch	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	16.0	15.2	0.79	10.3	15.4	-5.07
Rodney Buford	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	16.0	15.2	0.79	10.3	15.4	-5.07
Pepe Sanchez	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	16.0	15.2	0.79	9.0	15.4	-6.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, CHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	95.0%
ATL 83, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
HOU 88, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%