NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	4.0 [1038]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +25.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	2.0 [839]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -9.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richie Frahm	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.06	25	62%	0.10	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.02
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	11	32%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Luther Head	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	13	43%	-0.02	5	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.03	-0.02	32	65%	0.29	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.02	0.03	8	83%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.08	3	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	30.3	17.4	27.4	3.4	30.5	138.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.1%

LAL +8.3%

HOU -8.5%

LAL +4.8%

LAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	15.6	96.7	114.3	104.4
season	16.1	15.6		99.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	17.6	17.6	15.0	16.4
LAL	15.4	13.1	13.2	20.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maciej Lampe	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	4.0	16.7	-12.66	23.0	15.1	7.91
Charles Hayes	12	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-14	12	16.4	16.4	0.04	20.1	14.7	5.43
Rick Brunson	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-17	18	13.6	17.0	-3.42	18.4	14.6	3.77
Stromile Swift	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-14	12	16.8	16.0	0.81	15.5	15.0	0.48
Luther Head	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	17.6	14.4	3.24	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Richie Frahm	38	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-5	-6	18.3	15.0	3.27	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Rafer Alston	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	-1	-14	15.7	22.3	-6.60	15.5	13.2	2.21
Yao Ming	73	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-7	-2	16.7	14.9	1.80	15.1	15.9	-0.78
Juwan Howard	54	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	3	-22	16.0	16.9	-0.90	14.1	17.0	-2.92
Keith Bogans	80	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	1	-18	15.8	20.3	-4.42	14.9	17.3	-2.38

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	67	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.10	22	-6	28	15.0	16.1	-1.11	16.7	15.2	1.49
Lamar Odom	84	84	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-3	22	14.8	20.9	-6.06	16.4	16.4	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	2	12	14.9	16.6	-1.70	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Kwame Brown	72	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	7	2	15.2	15.6	-0.40	16.7	15.3	1.33
Brian Cook	35	35	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	5	6	14.5	15.7	-1.17	16.4	16.4	0.02
Luke Walton	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	12	-8	15.1	15.5	-0.36	16.7	16.0	0.76
Ronny Turiaf	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	12	-8	16.9	14.7	2.15	15.2	16.8	-1.62
Aaron McKie	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	20.8	14.9	5.96	13.9	16.6	-2.74
Jim Jackson	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	20.8	14.9	5.96	13.9	16.6	-2.74
Sasha Vujacic	30	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	20	-24	16.8	14.5	2.24	16.4	16.4	-0.04
Devean George	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	17	-18	13.3	15.6	-2.22	18.7	16.0	2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, DEN 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 95, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.0%
IND 95, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.82,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%