inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 98 Excitement4.3 [970] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +12.1%
San Antonio Spurs 110 Comeback2.1 [722] LVPCorey Brewer (HOU): -9.5%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.16-0.010.091279%0.0600.0000%0.00
James Harden0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.011558%0.091-0.038100%0.04
Dwight Howard0.030,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.011067%0.113-0.07450%-0.02
Kostas Papanikolaou0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%-0.0000.0000%0.00
KJ McDaniels-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Pablo Prigioni-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00650%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Joey Dorsey-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.02133%-0.0300.0040%-0.05
Terrence Jones-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Josh Smith-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.011350%0.014-0.0700%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02617%-0.072-0.0300%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.140.010.031869%0.182-0.06333%-0.02
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.011454%0.0800.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.000.02881%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.010.041562%0.072-0.042100%0.01
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.01667%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00-0.03437%0.0200.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.01-0.01550%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.010.051045%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.425.415.425.52.521.5117.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.3%
SAS +3.7%
SAS +10.0%
SAS +5.6%
HOU -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game13.916.315.1103.2114.6104.2
season14.315.4105.6106.9
opponent14.914.9101.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU12.413.617.412.513.9
SAS16.415.216.916.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard44450.06-0.560.63-0.054-162013.614.1-0.5116.616.00.64
KJ McDaniels1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-192612.914.0-1.0816.116.3-0.24
Nick Johnson1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-192612.914.0-1.0816.116.3-0.24
Clint Capela1213-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-192612.914.0-1.0816.116.3-0.24
Kostas Papanikolaou1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-151813.214.0-0.7716.016.3-0.32
Trevor Ariza6768-0.05-0.450.41-0.081-131414.213.11.0216.615.61.00
Pablo Prigioni5352-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-8413.214.7-1.4816.516.00.48
Josh Smith5353-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-2-813.714.0-0.2916.615.90.68
Joey Dorsey3030-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.26-3-9614.013.80.2516.916.00.85
Terrence Jones3434-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-3-614.913.31.6315.116.9-1.80
Corey Brewer4848-0.36-0.14-0.220.28-2210-3212.715.0-2.3316.016.6-0.60
Jason Terry3031-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-153-1815.413.22.2516.016.4-0.42
James Harden6969-0.660.16-0.820.10-2614-4014.512.22.3016.216.5-0.33

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker48490.470.030.430.0315-31815.916.6-0.7315.711.93.78
Kawhi Leonard67680.440.060.380.0613-11415.917.2-1.2814.811.53.33
Boris Diaw53520.440.060.37-0.1520-82816.316.20.1314.013.70.30
Aron Baynes48490.430.070.37-0.0617-52216.316.20.1015.212.42.85
Cory Joseph46450.300.200.10-0.1716-42015.916.6-0.7112.714.9-2.19
Tim Duncan56570.220.28-0.060.0466016.615.90.6513.314.7-1.37
Danny Green53530.190.31-0.12-0.10102817.714.63.1213.314.5-1.23
Manu Ginobili38380.160.34-0.17-0.0784415.916.5-0.5512.414.8-2.36
Kyle Anderson13120.000.50-0.500.21-719-2616.116.3-0.2412.914.0-1.08
Patty Mills13120.000.50-0.500.21-719-2616.116.3-0.2412.914.0-1.08
Jeff Ayres13120.000.50-0.500.21-719-2616.116.3-0.2412.914.0-1.08
Matt Bonner11100.000.50-0.500.29-1022-3215.916.3-0.4212.414.0-1.64
Reggie Williams2118-0.150.65-0.810.26-1426-4015.816.4-0.6013.114.1-1.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 108, BOS 1170.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
CLE 99, WAS 1110.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
SAC 93, OKC 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%