NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	108		Excitement	4.5 [913]		MVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): +25.9%
Boston Celtics	117		Comeback	2.4 [855]		LVP	Amir Johnson (BOS): -9.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.01	0.09	22	68%	0.18	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	79%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.15	0.00	0.14	12	69%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	6	29%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	41%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.04	-0.03	10	96%	0.30	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.25	0.03	0.13	24	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.18	0.00	-0.11	18	22%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	28.6	15.4	27.2	1.8	28.2	127.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +19.7%

BOS +1.2%

BOS +21.5%

BOS +7.5%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	14.8	116.1	121.9	107.7
season	14.1	14.7		104.1	110.1
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.3	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.1	14.8	16.8	14.5	14.8
BOS	14.5	14.6	14.5	19.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	32	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-10	11	15.3	14.5	0.82	16.5	15.2	1.31
Terrence Jones	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.3	15.0	-0.78	14.6	16.2	-1.59
Tyreke Evans	41	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-8	7	13.8	15.6	-1.78	14.7	16.5	-1.75
Langston Galloway	44	45	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-10	11	13.9	15.6	-1.69	15.6	15.8	-0.21
E'Twaun Moore	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-8	7	14.6	15.1	-0.51	15.9	15.3	0.64
Dante Cunningham	45	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-8	7	14.6	15.0	-0.42	16.9	14.5	2.33
Donatas Motiejunas	42	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	4	-17	15.0	14.5	0.50	13.4	17.5	-4.15
Jrue Holiday	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	0	-9	15.2	14.2	0.97	16.2	15.0	1.16
Anthony Davis	71	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	14.9	14.2	0.72	16.3	13.4	2.95
Buddy Hield	45	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	5	-19	16.0	13.6	2.37	15.8	15.6	0.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	63	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-5	19	16.0	15.2	0.77	15.5	13.4	2.10
Amir Johnson	45	44	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	16.7	14.8	1.88	16.2	13.5	2.63
Jae Crowder	61	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	3	3	16.5	14.3	2.16	15.4	13.7	1.70
Isaiah Thomas	76	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	10	-11	16.3	13.4	2.89	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Al Horford	69	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	11	-13	16.7	13.1	3.53	14.9	14.5	0.34
Jaylen Brown	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.13	12	-3	15	13.2	16.8	-3.62	15.2	14.6	0.58
Terry Rozier	25	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	8	-7	14.9	16.0	-1.04	13.6	15.2	-1.61
Jonas Jerebko	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	4	1	13.2	16.9	-3.68	13.6	15.4	-1.85
Kelly Olynyk	47	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	6	-3	14.9	16.4	-1.51	14.1	15.4	-1.24
Gerald Green	33	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	14	-19	15.2	16.0	-0.77	13.4	15.5	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
ATL 78, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
WAS 108, PHX 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%