NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	7.0 [445]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOK): +16.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	96		Comeback	2.5 [537]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -19.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.01	13	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Luther Head	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	15	40%	0.00	5	-0.20	5	80%	-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.02	11	67%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	5	110%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	2	125%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.06	-0.04	9	55%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
David West	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	14	56%	0.05	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.05
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.09
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	12	44%	0.03	5	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	29.4	15.6	26.2	2.6	36.3	138.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +34.3%

NOK +4.8%

HOU -14.4%

NOK +24.9%

NOK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOK	NBA	HOU	NOK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.4	95.7	104.3	104.5
season	15.6	16.0		103.6	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.7		104.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	16.7	15.1	14.6	15.5
NOK	12.7	14.6	16.9	18.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	45	43	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-6	6	15.0	15.9	-0.85	16.0	15.0	0.94
Dikembe Mutombo	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	13.9	15.6	-1.76	11.6	15.8	-4.22
Steve Novak	3	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.03	-3	-3	0	21.0	15.3	5.69	12.3	15.6	-3.25
Juwan Howard	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-4	2	16.6	15.1	1.50	13.8	16.1	-2.33
Kirk Snyder	30	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	0	-6	17.2	14.7	2.51	13.2	16.5	-3.31
Luther Head	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-5	4	16.0	15.2	0.78	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Yao Ming	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-10	14	14.9	16.2	-1.22	17.3	13.1	4.21
Shane Battier	86	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-8	10	15.2	19.0	-3.84	16.1	9.4	6.69
Bonzi Wells	31	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	1	-8	17.0	14.7	2.25	14.2	16.1	-1.88
Rafer Alston	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	0	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.43	15.9	14.1	1.76
Tracy McGrady	80	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.23	-11	5	-16	14.7	20.1	-5.38	15.5	15.3	0.23

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	48	50	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-7	20	15.6	15.4	0.22	16.0	14.9	1.09
Chris Paul	75	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-5	16	15.7	14.6	1.09	14.6	19.5	-4.93
Rasual Butler	31	32	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-4	14	14.9	15.8	-0.92	18.0	14.2	3.81
Tyson Chandler	52	52	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	3	0	15.8	15.1	0.71	14.2	17.1	-2.99
Desmond Mason	65	67	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	1	4	14.8	17.1	-2.31	14.8	17.2	-2.38
David West	70	72	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	6	-6	16.4	12.4	4.03	14.8	17.8	-2.98
Linton Johnson	16	18	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	11	-16	14.2	15.7	-1.56	18.0	14.9	3.11
Cedric Simmons	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	5	-4	14.1	16.0	-1.90	17.7	14.7	2.99
Peja Stojakovic	59	58	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	9	-12	16.0	14.5	1.50	14.6	16.9	-2.27
Jannero Pargo	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	11	-16	14.6	15.7	-1.15	19.8	14.5	5.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	92.2%
NOH 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	91.7%
NYK 98, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.7%