NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	4.9 [849]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (IND): +11.8%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.1 [1199]		LVP	Tony Battie (ORL): -14.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	49%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
Dwight Howard	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Darko Milicic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Tony Battie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	8	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	-0.03	15	61%	0.15	4	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.06	17	56%	0.14	9	-0.17	9	67%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.3	16.4	30.6	2.5	30.4	136.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +57.8%

IND +9.9%

IND +0.4%

ORL -14.2%

ORL -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	18.1	15.6	101.2	104.7	104.4
season	16.4	16.0		104.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.1	13.8	20.3	15.5	16.4
IND	16.6	18.1	14.3	24.5	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	50	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.41	16	-22	38	14.6	19.2	-4.56	19.7	15.6	4.06
Carlos Arroyo	48	50	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.42	15	-21	36	14.3	19.3	-4.98	20.1	15.2	4.85
Keyon Dooling	45	46	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-19	32	14.8	18.4	-3.60	20.0	15.8	4.13
Pat Garrity	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-12	18	17.2	16.3	0.93	22.2	17.5	4.71
Trevor Ariza	51	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.43	13	-19	32	14.5	19.5	-4.94	19.3	15.9	3.43
Darko Milicic	23	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	5	-16	16.7	16.3	0.44	14.8	19.4	-4.59
Dwight Howard	47	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-5	4	16.4	16.3	0.16	18.2	17.9	0.38
Stacey Augmon	28	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.10	-19	13	-32	19.4	14.8	4.52	16.3	18.9	-2.67
DeShawn Stevenson	40	43	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	13	-32	18.5	14.4	4.14	15.6	20.6	-4.97
Jameer Nelson	34	35	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.09	-21	15	-36	19.3	14.3	4.98	15.2	20.1	-4.85
Tony Battie	33	33	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.11	-22	16	-38	18.5	15.0	3.53	16.4	19.1	-2.71

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	65	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-2	10	18.6	16.5	2.07	16.8	15.1	1.73
Anthony Johnson	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-8	22	17.1	21.7	-4.55	17.8	10.9	6.86
Stephen Jackson	77	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	18.5	14.5	3.95	16.2	18.0	-1.80
Peja Stojakovic	62	58	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.19	11	-5	16	17.6	19.3	-1.68	17.6	13.5	4.07
Scot Pollard	14	13	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-1	8	13.3	19.0	-5.74	20.5	15.6	4.94
Jeff Foster	48	49	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	10	-14	20.6	14.8	5.89	15.5	17.6	-2.11
David Harrison	9	7	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	5	-4	12.2	18.8	-6.55	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Danny Granger	41	41	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.29	-9	15	-24	17.9	18.2	-0.30	14.7	18.0	-3.29
Austin Croshere	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	3	0	18.0	18.1	-0.10	14.8	16.7	-1.93
Sarunas Jasikevicius	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.19	-8	14	-22	19.5	17.5	2.04	12.8	17.9	-5.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOP 100, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NOH 106, PHX 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%