NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	100		Excitement	4.0 [1019]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +18.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	120		Comeback	1.1 [1115]		LVP	Gal Mekel (NOP): -7.1%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	15	67%	0.12	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Luke Babbitt	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.00	0.03	6	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	57%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	71%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Gal Mekel	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	8	87%	0.20	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	15	67%	0.19	1	-0.01	15	67%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	11	71%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	14	75%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	69%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	4	89%	0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.4	26.6	15.4	26.4	1.7	29.2	124.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.4%

LAC +4.1%

NOP -8.1%

LAC +10.1%

LAC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	LAC	NBA	NOP	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.1	108.7	131.9	104.2
season	15.8	14.6		106.3	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	14.9	18.0	16.1	16.2
LAC	15.3	15.7	13.9	15.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	40	38	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-27	34	17.0	15.6	1.42	14.4	15.8	-1.33
Alexis Ajinca	17	16	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-30	40	18.2	15.8	2.44	14.9	15.3	-0.34
Gal Mekel	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-26	32	16.4	16.2	0.26	15.6	15.1	0.49
Jeff Withey	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	20.6	16.0	4.60	13.4	15.3	-1.93
John Salmons	33	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	-7	-6	16.5	16.1	0.37	16.3	14.6	1.64
Austin Rivers	47	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-10	0	16.6	15.9	0.62	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Omer Asik	48	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-9	-2	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.7	14.7	1.03
Ryan Anderson	52	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-6	-8	15.1	17.7	-2.57	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Luke Babbitt	34	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-5	-10	16.0	16.4	-0.35	16.1	14.7	1.38
Tyreke Evans	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-8	-4	15.6	17.0	-1.32	14.7	15.8	-1.06
Anthony Davis	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.34	-28	8	-36	16.5	15.8	0.72	15.3	15.0	0.32
Jrue Holiday	53	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.14	-23	3	-26	15.9	16.8	-0.90	15.3	15.1	0.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	58	59	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.11	24	-4	28	14.8	15.9	-1.08	16.1	16.5	-0.32
Chris Paul	57	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-2	24	14.9	15.8	-0.96	16.1	16.5	-0.40
JJ Redick	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.31	27	-7	34	15.8	13.6	2.16	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Matt Barnes	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	0	20	14.7	16.6	-1.85	16.4	15.9	0.51
DeAndre Jordan	69	68	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.28	24	-4	28	15.5	14.3	1.25	15.5	18.5	-2.99
Jamal Crawford	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	9	2	15.5	14.9	0.63	15.2	17.4	-2.15
Spencer Hawes	35	36	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	13	-6	15.6	15.0	0.62	16.4	16.1	0.27
CJ Wilcox	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	13.4	15.3	-1.93	20.6	16.0	4.60
Ekpe Udoh	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	13.4	15.3	-1.93	20.6	16.0	4.60
Hedo Turkoglu	11	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	27	-34	15.6	15.2	0.47	17.2	16.1	1.15
Jared Cunningham	17	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.19	-10	30	-40	15.6	15.1	0.53	18.2	15.8	2.44
Glen Davis	15	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.22	-12	32	-44	15.1	15.2	-0.18	18.2	15.8	2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 83, NOH 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	95.4%
LAC 70, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAL 98, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%