NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	83		Excitement	4.5 [908]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +7.6%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	1.0 [1122]		LVP	Tyson Chandler (CHI): -15.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	87%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	4	69%	-0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	12	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Jay Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	5	30%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	20	46%	-0.06	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	20	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	12	67%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	71%	0.07	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	15	27%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	15	46%	-0.00	4	-0.13	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	28.2	15.8	26.6	1.7	37.4	137.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +29.5%

NOH +3.6%

NOH +4.4%

NOH +9.7%

NOH +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOH	NBA	CHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.0	15.6	15.5	88.3	95.7	101.6
season	15.0	15.9		98.3	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.8	14.4	16.4	11.7	15.0
NOH	13.5	18.4	13.0	17.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	31	30	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.30	16	-23	39	13.5	15.8	-2.36	21.0	13.1	7.92
Corie Blount	37	37	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.35	17	-24	41	12.9	16.4	-3.48	17.1	14.6	2.52
Fred Hoiberg	19	18	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-14	21	14.7	15.1	-0.44	16.9	15.3	1.65
Jamal Crawford	43	43	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.42	19	-26	45	12.4	17.3	-4.86	18.5	13.2	5.27
Marcus Fizer	46	46	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-15	23	13.9	16.1	-2.28	17.3	14.0	3.33
Eddy Curry	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Tyson Chandler	25	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	9	-25	16.7	14.4	2.25	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Donyell Marshall	56	56	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	13	-33	16.5	12.8	3.68	13.6	18.5	-4.86
Jalen Rose	83	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	5	-17	15.2	13.5	1.79	15.3	18.4	-3.13
Jay Williams	55	55	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.14	-27	20	-47	16.2	13.4	2.82	12.5	20.1	-7.60
Trenton Hassell	51	52	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.01	-24	17	-41	16.7	13.0	3.75	13.5	18.2	-4.63

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	69	68	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.04	22	-15	37	13.5	21.5	-8.06	16.0	12.5	3.50
Jamal Mashburn	87	87	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-5	17	15.4	17.7	-2.28	15.4	10.3	5.13
David Wesley	88	89	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	15.2	21.7	-6.47	15.1	14.6	0.46
Baron Davis	61	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	-3	13	15.6	15.6	0.00	16.1	12.9	3.22
George Lynch	50	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	0	7	14.6	16.7	-2.06	14.4	15.7	-1.38
P.J. Brown	32	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	3	1	17.2	14.8	2.49	16.6	14.1	2.53
Robert Pack	37	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	12	-17	15.6	15.6	-0.06	13.3	16.1	-2.78
Robert Traylor	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	10	-13	15.5	15.6	-0.11	10.5	15.3	-4.84
Stacey Augmon	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	14	-21	18.9	15.0	3.88	12.4	15.5	-3.06
Elden Campbell	25	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.25	-15	22	-37	21.5	13.5	8.06	12.5	16.0	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 94, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DEN 70, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%