inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement4.4 [738] MVPRyan Anderson (ORL): +11.1%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback1.0 [491] LVPLeBron James (MIA): -14.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.15-0.010.062465%0.102-0.023100%0.00
Shane Battier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.03580%0.0400.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrel Harris0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.02233%-0.0110.0020%-0.03
Mike Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00350%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Norris Cole-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00856%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.080,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.030.021343%-0.061-0.022100%0.00
LeBron James-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.050.011542%-0.073-0.071070%-0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.01-0.011957%0.131-0.02967%-0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.08-0.000.031466%0.113-0.071070%-0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.021055%0.0200.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.10-0.02-0.10625%-0.003-0.0100%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00275%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.010.011237%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.04-0.00475%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.031346%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.92.028.116.525.62.629.1130.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +21.5%
ORL +6.5%
ORL +21.4%
MIA -1.7%
ORL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game14.517.815.6100.0114.6102.8
season15.516.2105.6102.8
opponent15.815.8103.098.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.012.817.812.714.5
ORL14.319.017.421.017.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard320.00-0.500.500.000-13137.714.8-7.0924.017.76.30
James Jones320.00-0.500.500.000-13137.714.8-7.0924.017.76.30
Terrel Harris320.00-0.500.500.000-13137.714.8-7.0924.017.76.30
Dwyane Wade6666-0.10-0.400.30-0.162-151714.016.1-2.1818.615.63.01
Dexter Pittman2120-0.13-0.370.240.02-5-8314.414.6-0.1815.818.4-2.63
Norris Cole5758-0.21-0.290.080.09-10-3-714.414.7-0.3618.616.42.18
Shane Battier4847-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-5-315.013.91.0916.919.0-2.10
LeBron James7375-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.27-1-121114.116.4-2.3417.619.0-1.37
Mike Miller3233-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.08-8-5-315.114.20.8517.018.3-1.34
Chris Bosh6869-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.10-8-5-314.614.30.2418.515.62.89
Joel Anthony2929-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.01-141-1515.913.82.0517.418.1-0.69
Udonis Haslem4242-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.05-130-1315.813.42.4517.118.5-1.46

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Davis37350.460.040.420.111211116.219.0-2.8816.413.33.10
Jason Richardson60610.380.120.26-0.1217-42117.019.5-2.4314.414.7-0.34
Jameer Nelson59590.380.120.25-0.001301318.316.91.4713.915.8-1.89
Dwight Howard79800.360.140.230.1385317.719.0-1.3014.316.6-2.27
Quentin Richardson37370.330.170.16-0.0814-11515.219.7-4.5415.713.72.03
Ryan Anderson62630.170.33-0.15-0.0067-119.015.13.9213.816.3-2.58
Hedo Turkoglu52520.170.33-0.160.20-114-1519.715.24.5413.715.7-2.03
Chris Duhon30300.120.38-0.250.12013-1316.918.3-1.4715.813.91.89
JJ Redick29280.120.38-0.260.24-417-2119.517.02.4314.714.40.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 94, ATL 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%
ORL 83, IND 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,195.3%
DET 86, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.9%