NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	4.1 [1018]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +18.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	2.5 [789]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): -6.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adonal Foyle	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	17	48%	0.03	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.04
Mike Dunleavy	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	9	57%	0.00	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.07	0.06	-0.05	22	53%	0.19	1	-0.01	14	64%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.05
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	10	35%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	34.6	16.7	30.2	2.5	25.5	138.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.4%

LAL +5.1%

LAL +20.1%

LAL +4.0%

GSW -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	15.6	99.0	111.0	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		102.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.3	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.0	15.6	12.7	11.4	13.9
LAL	15.3	13.7	13.9	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.38	13	-24	37	9.2	14.8	-5.62	18.2	14.1	4.09
Andris Biedrins	30	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-2	-7	14.2	13.7	0.50	14.1	15.1	-1.04
Ike Diogu	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-12	13	12.6	14.8	-2.27	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Mickael Pietrus	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-12	13	11.8	15.7	-3.90	15.7	13.9	1.81
Will Bynum	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	12.0	14.8	-2.80	16.6	13.9	2.65
Troy Murphy	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-5	-1	15.3	12.7	2.56	15.1	14.6	0.50
Adonal Foyle	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-2	-7	14.9	13.1	1.83	15.0	14.7	0.34
Derek Fisher	68	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-2	-7	14.8	12.0	2.80	13.9	16.6	-2.65
Monta Ellis	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	13.1	15.0	-1.85	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Jason Richardson	60	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	4	-19	15.4	11.6	3.81	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Mike Dunleavy	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	3	-17	15.0	12.3	2.70	13.8	16.2	-2.37

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	62	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-18	47	14.4	15.5	-1.11	15.5	10.8	4.69
Kobe Bryant	70	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-13	37	13.9	16.9	-3.03	15.3	10.0	5.38
Luke Walton	44	46	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-6	23	13.9	15.5	-1.57	14.7	13.2	1.47
Lamar Odom	69	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-3	17	14.2	16.3	-2.10	14.8	11.7	3.09
Smush Parker	61	63	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	-3	17	14.4	15.5	-1.11	14.0	13.6	0.39
Devean George	44	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	13	-15	15.5	14.3	1.15	13.5	14.1	-0.59
Sasha Vujacic	51	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	14	-17	15.4	14.2	1.19	13.1	14.6	-1.53
Brian Cook	44	44	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	16	-21	16.0	13.9	2.04	11.5	15.6	-4.13
Ronny Turiaf	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	12	-13	14.6	14.8	-0.19	11.3	14.3	-2.98
Jim Jackson	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	24	-37	18.2	14.1	4.09	9.2	14.8	-5.62
Andrew Bynum	23	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.45	-19	30	-49	16.3	14.4	1.88	11.0	14.6	-3.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
TOR 95, CHH 111	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
OKC 96, UTA 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%