NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	8.9 [158]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +39.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	11.3 [89]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAC): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,0.2,0.39	-0.05	0.43	-0.00	20	47%	0.50	4	-0.11	9	56%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	16	67%	0.30	3	-0.13	13	85%	0.05
Brad Miller	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	9	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Francisco Garcia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	9	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	14	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.09
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.11,0.08,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	18	45%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	17	47%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	39%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	25.6	16.3	29.4	1.8	39.2	136.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.0%

SAC +16.7%

LAC -18.3%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	104.3	101.1	104.4
season	15.3	15.2		104.7	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.9	16.7	14.4	14.4	15.6
LAC	13.8	14.6	17.6	16.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-6	15	15.5	16.2	-0.70	16.1	13.9	2.20
Metta World Peace	88	88	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	15.4	20.7	-5.37	16.1	7.5	8.57
Mike Bibby	81	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-4	11	15.4	17.5	-2.10	16.3	11.1	5.23
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	47	47	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.60	-2	5	-7	16.4	14.8	1.63	13.4	18.1	-4.73
Bonzi Wells	61	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	0	3	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.6	13.7	2.98
Kevin Martin	37	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	8	-13	16.1	15.3	0.84	12.7	17.4	-4.74
Francisco Garcia	11	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	7	-11	17.5	15.4	2.10	11.1	16.3	-5.23
Kenny Thomas	59	60	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.27	-1	4	-5	15.6	15.6	0.00	17.2	12.9	4.28

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	47	48	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.21	12	-15	27	13.9	17.6	-3.77	16.0	15.1	0.91
Zeljko Rebraca	45	46	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.13	-4	1	-5	15.1	16.2	-1.10	16.1	15.1	1.04
Walter McCarty	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	12.9	16.0	-3.11	16.9	15.5	1.45
James Singleton	2	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	6.5	15.9	-9.40	1.5	15.9	-14.42
Quinton Ross	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	3	-9	17.4	14.5	2.85	15.7	15.5	0.23
Chris Kaman	58	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-7	11	16.4	14.4	2.04	16.3	14.6	1.73
Cuttino Mobley	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-5	7	15.4	16.3	-0.85	15.2	16.5	-1.32
Shaun Livingston	44	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	9	-21	17.5	14.0	3.55	15.3	15.9	-0.58
Elton Brand	79	79	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.59	-4	1	-5	15.7	15.7	0.00	15.4	17.1	-1.71
Vladimir Radmanovic	76	75	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.72	-5	2	-7	15.5	16.7	-1.20	15.4	16.4	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.9,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 109, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.85,0.58,0	90.7%
WAS 95, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.59,0	90.6%
SAS 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.39,0.68,0.27,0	90.5%