NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	9.7 [85]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (WAS): +23.6%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	5.4 [175]		LVP	James Jones (IND): -10.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.13	0.11	0.00	9	89%	0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.21	-0.09	0.30	-0.01	18	46%	0.38	4	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.11,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	26	53%	0.31	3	-0.25	10	60%	-0.04
Brendan Haywood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.02	7	68%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	62%	0.04
Laron Profit	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.10	0.00	7	62%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	8	55%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.15,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	28	57%	0.16	4	-0.17	11	91%	0.08
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	7	53%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	0.00	17	44%	0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	31.3	15.8	26.3	2.4	38.0	140.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +69.6%

IND -4.1%

IND -26.0%

WAS +8.5%

WAS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	17.3	15.5	108.0	105.7	104.0
season	14.7	16.8		104.7	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	16.9	15.5	14.8	15.5
IND	18.7	15.8	18.1	16.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	39	39	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.51	9	-7	16	14.8	16.0	-1.21	17.7	16.9	0.87
Antawn Jamison	79	79	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.54	7	-5	12	15.4	16.3	-0.97	17.4	16.3	1.03
Gilbert Arenas	81	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	0	2	15.4	15.9	-0.43	17.5	14.7	2.77
Jarvis Hayes	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.45	1	1	0	15.6	14.9	0.64	16.7	20.4	-3.66
Anthony Peeler	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.32	1	1	0	15.6	15.2	0.42	16.7	18.1	-1.40
Brendan Haywood	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	-4	10	15.2	16.0	-0.72	17.5	16.7	0.85
Laron Profit	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	4	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.27	15.5	17.5	-1.99
Etan Thomas	27	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	10	-18	16.0	15.2	0.72	17.9	17.0	0.96
Michael Ruffin	15	16	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.12	-6	8	-14	17.0	15.2	1.85	17.7	17.2	0.60

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	36	36	0.42	-0.92	1.35	0.16	9	-11	20	17.5	17.1	0.40	16.4	14.8	1.61
Scot Pollard	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-6	10	17.6	17.0	0.57	15.2	15.7	-0.44
James Jones	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	3	-8	17.9	15.9	2.03	15.6	15.1	0.46
Michael Curry	3	3	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	4	-10	14.7	17.4	-2.69	16.0	15.4	0.55
Reggie Miller	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-3	4	17.5	16.8	0.65	15.0	16.4	-1.37
Jermaine O'Neal	73	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-1	0	17.1	18.3	-1.21	14.9	18.6	-3.70
Jeff Foster	60	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-1	0	17.4	16.9	0.54	16.3	13.8	2.48
Fred Jones	57	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-2	2	16.4	18.9	-2.53	15.8	14.8	0.96
Jamaal Tinsley	52	52	-0.92	0.42	-1.35	-0.60	-11	9	-20	17.1	17.5	-0.40	14.8	16.4	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.61,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.66,0.57,0.58,0	91.8%
NYK 103, SAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.42,0	91.5%
CLE 86, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.45,0.71,0.68,0.73,0	91.4%