NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	9.9 [76]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (LAL): +33.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	5.5 [161]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): -29.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.28	0.03	0.22	-0.03	10	59%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.24,0.24	0.01	0.23	-0.00	12	56%	0.28	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	17	55%	0.06	0	0.00	13	100%	0.21
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Webber	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.15	-0.03	22	46%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.06	0.27	0.00	6	71%	0.34	0	0.00	2	100%	0.06
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.06	0.00	17	75%	0.41	3	-0.22	19	79%	0.04
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	15	34%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.17	-0.04	13	50%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.04
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	10	25%	-0.14	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.4	31.7	17.8	34.3	3.4	40.3	154.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +7.3%

SAC +10.6%

LAL -1.5%

SAC +32.0%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.3	15.5	113.5	111.6	104.0
season	14.7	15.7		108.1	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		108.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	15.0	13.8	17.3	14.9
LAL	15.7	15.0	15.0	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	78	77	1.10	-0.60	1.71	0.55	19	-16	35	14.3	17.3	-3.00	15.3	15.1	0.19
Brad Miller	69	70	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.35	17	-14	31	15.0	14.6	0.42	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Doug Christie	73	71	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	-2	7	14.8	15.1	-0.25	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Peja Stojakovic	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	1	1	15.3	11.7	3.57	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Chris Webber	82	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	2	-1	15.0	14.1	0.88	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Matt Barnes	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	4	-5	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.2	14.9	1.40
Darius Songaila	29	29	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.09	-12	15	-27	14.8	14.9	-0.10	16.1	14.9	1.16
Bobby Jackson	36	36	-0.50	1.00	-1.51	-0.03	-16	19	-35	15.6	14.4	1.19	15.4	15.2	0.16

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	21	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-6	9	16.2	15.0	1.25	16.5	14.5	2.09
Chris Mihm	39	41	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-4	5	15.4	15.1	0.29	15.2	14.7	0.56
Caron Butler	46	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-2	1	14.5	16.0	-1.56	15.0	14.8	0.17
Vlade Divac	13	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	1	-5	15.0	15.3	-0.30	18.5	14.4	4.12
Slava Medvedenko	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-2	1	21.0	14.7	6.26	11.1	15.2	-4.05
Kareem Rush	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	2	-7	16.1	15.1	0.95	14.7	14.9	-0.27
Lamar Odom	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-5	7	14.5	16.9	-2.40	15.4	13.6	1.82
Brian Cook	55	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-2	1	15.4	15.0	0.41	13.9	16.3	-2.44
Kobe Bryant	90	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.47	1	-4	5	15.1	19.0	-3.94	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Chucky Atkins	74	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	3	-9	15.0	16.2	-1.25	14.5	16.5	-2.09
Jumaine Jones	48	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	16.0	14.6	1.41	14.8	15.0	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.58,0	91.9%
SAC 96, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.9,0.58,0	90.7%
BOS 110, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.47,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	90.3%