NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	7.7 [166]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +15.4%
Indiana Pacers	90		Comeback	8.0 [59]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -33.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.05	0.11	-0.00	3	80%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.12	-0.04	0.15	-0.02	13	47%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.19
Kurt Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	16	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	54%	-0.02	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	13	63%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	8	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.03
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.05	0.02	12	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.33	-0.33	-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	8	26%	-0.31	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	31.4	18.3	24.0	3.5	47.5	153.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +20.6%

NYK +26.3%

NYK +8.0%

IND -7.7%

NYK +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	15.8	108.1	103.4	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		97.0	105.4
opponent	16.0	16.6		101.2	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	17.9	17.6	13.9	15.7
IND	17.4	19.0	15.9	18.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	74	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.42	9	-6	15	15.2	18.9	-3.74	17.3	19.2	-1.94
Kurt Thomas	41	40	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-5	13	16.0	15.4	0.53	18.0	17.3	0.72
Allan Houston	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	-1	5	15.5	16.6	-1.09	16.8	20.9	-4.03
Latrell Sprewell	59	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	-6	15	15.6	16.0	-0.44	17.7	17.2	0.51
Chris Childs	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	3	-3	14.8	16.8	-2.00	18.4	16.5	1.88
Charlie Ward	37	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	0	3	16.8	14.8	2.00	16.9	18.1	-1.26
Larry Johnson	67	67	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	15	-27	15.9	14.8	1.10	17.4	18.2	-0.86
Rick Brunson	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	0.0	15.7	-15.70	4.0	17.7	-13.74
Chris Dudley	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	22.5	15.4	7.13	24.0	17.2	6.80
Marcus Camby	28	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	9	-15	15.9	15.6	0.29	18.6	17.0	1.60

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	47	47	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.28	2	-5	7	17.1	18.1	-1.00	16.2	15.1	1.14
Sam Perkins	26	27	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.13	11	-14	25	19.1	16.9	2.18	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Travis Best	31	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-6	9	18.7	17.0	1.75	15.8	15.6	0.14
Jalen Rose	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	0	-3	18.2	17.0	1.19	16.1	15.3	0.87
Derrick McKey	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-12	21	17.5	17.6	-0.09	16.0	15.4	0.59
Chris Mullin	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	17.7	17.5	0.28	15.3	16.0	-0.75
Antonio Davis	49	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	0	-3	17.9	17.2	0.67	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Mark Jackson	56	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	3	-9	17.0	18.7	-1.75	15.6	15.8	-0.14
Reggie Miller	61	60	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.39	-8	5	-13	16.8	19.5	-2.73	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Dale Davis	47	44	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.53	-13	10	-23	17.3	17.9	-0.58	15.7	15.7	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 109, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.85,0.58,0	91.9%
MIA 77, CLE 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.72,0	91.0%
NOH 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.9,0.59,0	89.9%