NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	100		Excitement	8.5 [144]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +18.1%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	20.5 [37]		LVP	Donnell Harvey (ORL): -21.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.13	0.02	19	64%	0.27	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
George Lynch	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.15	0.00	0.14	-0.00	9	44%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	12	82%	0.23	2	-0.09	9	100%	0.05
Stacey Augmon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	69%	0.03	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	17	58%	0.20	7	-0.23	4	75%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	27	53%	0.11	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.09
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	6	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	10	57%	0.00	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.15	-0.15	0.02	-0.17	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	4	25%	-0.14	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	30.5	17.5	30.3	2.4	31.5	139.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +68.8%

ORL -13.9%

ORL -9.0%

NOH +8.4%

ORL -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ORL	NBA	NOH	ORL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.7	113.6	114.0	100.5
season	16.0	15.7		99.3	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.2	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.0	13.0	17.5	17.7	15.6
ORL	17.7	15.3	17.6	20.2	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	63	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-4	10	16.3	13.8	2.45	18.0	16.3	1.68
P.J. Brown	51	50	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-6	14	16.6	14.2	2.47	18.3	16.4	1.92
George Lynch	55	53	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	-2	6	16.8	13.6	3.22	17.6	17.4	0.23
Baron Davis	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-5	12	15.6	15.7	-0.19	17.9	16.0	1.86
David Wesley	65	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	1	0	16.1	14.2	1.86	17.2	18.5	-1.35
Robert Traylor	20	19	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	13.4	16.2	-2.84	15.4	18.1	-2.71
Stacey Augmon	33	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	4	-6	13.6	16.8	-3.22	17.4	17.6	-0.23
Darrell Armstrong	39	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	6	-10	14.8	16.2	-1.34	17.5	17.5	-0.02
David West	17	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	7	-12	15.1	15.7	-0.66	17.5	17.5	-0.01
Sean Rooks	25	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	6	-10	13.8	16.3	-2.45	16.3	18.0	-1.68

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	31	31	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-10	18	16.9	17.9	-0.94	16.3	15.2	1.13
Donnell Harvey	38	38	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-8	14	16.0	18.7	-2.70	13.4	17.3	-3.91
Reece Gaines	6	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	2	-6	14.7	17.7	-3.08	8.1	16.2	-8.09
Gordan Giricek	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	2	-6	17.2	17.7	-0.46	14.5	16.1	-1.60
Tyronn Lue	56	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-8	14	17.9	16.9	0.92	15.8	15.1	0.69
Drew Gooden	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.51	5	-7	12	17.6	17.4	0.18	16.2	12.2	3.94
Britton Johnsen	28	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	15	-32	18.7	17.0	1.75	15.9	15.5	0.39
Shammond Williams	55	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-4	6	17.5	17.7	-0.22	15.8	15.2	0.61
Tracy McGrady	67	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-2	2	18.0	15.9	2.04	16.5	12.4	4.04
Juwan Howard	49	50	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.35	-12	10	-22	18.0	16.9	1.08	15.7	15.4	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.9,0.59,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.91,0.58,0	93.1%
MEM 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.71,0.42,0	91.7%
MEM 104, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	90.8%