NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	8.6 [155]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +51.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	9.7 [85]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -15.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.52	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.52	0.07	0.44	-0.00	12	69%	0.56	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.05	0.00	9	100%	0.26	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	10	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.19,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.01	25	47%	0.05	2	-0.07	12	50%	-0.07
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Horace Grant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.00	5	83%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.08
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	87%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.12,-0.1	-0.10	0.05	-0.16	-0.01	18	56%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	-0.00	33	51%	-0.07	3	-0.09	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.6	33.7	18.0	28.0	2.6	33.5	146.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +103.8%

PHI -24.9%

PHI -52.2%

ORL +15.9%

ORL +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.1	17.2	15.6	114.1	112.0	102.3
season	14.6	15.9		104.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.2	12.9	14.3	17.6	14.1
PHI	16.0	18.4	15.1	20.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	79	81	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-4	10	14.1	13.7	0.42	17.5	15.1	2.45
Tracy McGrady	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.1	0.0	14.05	17.2	0.0	17.25
Horace Grant	43	42	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	5	-8	14.8	13.4	1.47	16.9	17.5	-0.59
Darrell Armstrong	68	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	3	-4	13.8	14.8	-1.00	17.3	17.2	0.08
Troy Hudson	47	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	2	-2	15.8	12.2	3.59	18.0	16.4	1.58
Patrick Ewing	40	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.08	11	-9	20	14.1	14.0	0.04	17.8	16.8	0.91
Jud Buechler	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	-2	6	14.0	14.1	-0.06	16.2	17.3	-1.16
Dee Brown	16	17	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.03	3	-1	4	14.5	14.0	0.54	18.9	16.9	2.00
Monty Williams	48	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	4	-6	12.3	16.0	-3.69	15.7	19.0	-3.33
Don Reid	10	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	3	-4	11.5	14.4	-2.87	12.1	17.7	-5.61
Andrew DeClercq	11	11	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	11	-20	14.0	14.1	-0.06	19.7	16.9	2.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	70	68	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-6	10	17.7	16.0	1.70	14.2	13.7	0.47
Speedy Claxton	23	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	1	-4	18.6	16.8	1.75	13.8	14.1	-0.31
Corie Blount	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-9	16	17.0	17.7	-0.77	15.1	12.3	2.81
Derrick Coleman	46	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	11	-24	18.4	16.1	2.33	13.0	15.2	-2.20
Eric Snow	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-3	4	16.8	19.4	-2.65	13.9	15.0	-1.14
Derrick McKey	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	17.9	16.7	1.12	16.2	12.3	3.93
Allen Iverson	92	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	17.2	0.0	17.25	14.1	0.0	14.05
Raja Bell	54	56	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	2	-6	15.7	19.5	-3.79	12.5	16.5	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.61,0.53,0.63,0.91,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 100, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.9,0.59,0	93.1%
MIL 84, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.52,0.72,0.67,0.74,0	89.7%
DAL 93, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.72,0.94,0.9,0	89.7%