NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	104		Excitement	9.9 [103]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +90.3%
San Antonio Spurs	103		Comeback	5.2 [242]		LVP	Garrett Temple (MEM): -16.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.90	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.9	0.09	0.81	-0.00	13	59%	0.90	0	0.00	8	100%	0.27
Mike Conley	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.3,0.21	0.14	0.11	0.04	23	59%	0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Omri Casspi	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	75%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.36	0.36	0.19	0.18	0.01	10	81%	0.36	0	0.00	6	100%	0.09
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	89%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.24,-0.38,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.14	0.01	20	53%	0.44	5	-0.35	5	80%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.04	0.00	7	83%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	20	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	11%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	27.6	14.5	25.2	1.8	36.1	134.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -11.1%

MEM +61.3%

SAS -19.6%

MEM +18.1%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	14.3	110.6	109.6	109.3
season	15.4	14.8		105.4	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.2		110.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	15.7	16.4	18.0	16.2
SAS	14.3	14.3	14.9	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	64	66	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-13	27	17.0	14.6	2.40	15.3	12.3	2.97
Garrett Temple	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-7	15	16.7	15.3	1.39	14.8	13.7	1.09
Mike Conley	66	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	-1	3	16.5	15.5	0.99	14.7	13.5	1.25
Kyle Anderson	77	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.48	-2	3	-5	16.1	17.0	-0.94	13.9	16.5	-2.59
Shelvin Mack	39	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	4	-7	16.2	16.3	-0.05	13.9	14.7	-0.74
MarShon Brooks	24	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	-2	5	16.5	16.2	0.30	15.0	14.2	0.78
Jaren Jackson Jr.	24	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	-1	3	15.8	16.4	-0.59	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Omri Casspi	40	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	16.1	16.3	-0.19	13.3	15.1	-1.83
Wayne Selden	39	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.13	-8	9	-17	15.1	17.1	-1.98	13.7	14.9	-1.16
JaMychal Green	36	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	8	-15	15.4	16.7	-1.32	14.5	14.3	0.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	52	54	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.14	9	-10	19	12.2	17.1	-4.95	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Davis Bertans	37	37	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-10	19	13.9	14.7	-0.84	16.9	15.8	1.08
Jakob Poeltl	14	14	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-11	21	10.6	15.1	-4.50	14.6	16.5	-1.87
Derrick White	19	22	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-6	11	12.8	14.8	-2.02	16.8	16.1	0.76
Marco Belinelli	31	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-4	7	12.4	15.4	-3.06	16.2	16.2	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	3	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	1	-3	14.0	14.4	-0.42	9.0	16.6	-7.56
Rudy Gay	66	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.43	-6	5	-11	15.6	11.7	3.88	16.9	14.8	2.13
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	8	-17	15.3	9.8	5.48	16.3	15.9	0.36
DeMar DeRozan	74	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.38	-9	8	-17	14.9	12.7	2.10	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Bryn Forbes	49	46	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	9	-19	16.3	12.4	3.93	16.4	16.1	0.31
Dante Cunningham	46	48	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.84	-5	4	-9	14.7	14.1	0.53	15.8	16.7	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	92.3%
PHI 82, NJN 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.31,0	91.7%
IND 94, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0	91.6%