NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	8.8 [139]		MVP	Marreese Speights (PHI): +19.9%
New Jersey Nets	79		Comeback	4.1 [377]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -45.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2	0.05	0.15	-0.00	15	54%	0.23	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Willie Green	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.00	2	125%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	11	45%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.12	0.06	-0.15	0.03	16	56%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.46	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.21,-0.46	-0.09	-0.36	0.00	14	31%	-0.31	1	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	61%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.21,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	17	55%	0.13	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.07
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	13	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33	-0.33	-0.10	-0.23	0.00	15	33%	-0.28	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	29.6	15.6	24.2	2.8	38.0	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +26.3%

NJN -13.3%

PHI +33.3%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.3	93.2	90.8	106.0
season	15.1	15.9		104.2	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		108.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.6	15.4	15.0	19.0	16.2
NJN	15.7	15.9	19.3	16.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	50	49	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-2	7	14.7	18.2	-3.56	15.9	17.8	-1.89
Andre Iguodala	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.34	9	-6	15	15.4	19.0	-3.55	16.5	17.3	-0.79
Thaddeus Young	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-1	5	16.2	16.3	-0.17	16.3	17.5	-1.13
Willie Green	25	26	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.40	1	2	-1	18.4	15.3	3.11	15.7	17.1	-1.49
Jason Kapono	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	-3	9	16.5	15.9	0.63	17.7	15.8	1.90
Lou Williams	57	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-1	5	14.8	18.8	-4.00	16.8	16.5	0.37
Marreese Speights	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	2	-1	18.9	12.9	5.96	17.7	15.3	2.44
Elton Brand	43	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	3	-3	15.7	16.7	-0.97	16.6	16.8	-0.22
Jrue Holiday	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	5	-7	18.4	16.0	2.40	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Rodney Carney	24	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	10	-17	15.4	16.5	-1.10	16.4	16.8	-0.39
Royal Ivey	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	9	-15	19.2	15.7	3.54	18.2	16.5	1.70

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	31	33	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-12	21	17.4	16.3	1.02	17.0	15.7	1.30
Josh Boone	52	50	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.25	-8	5	-13	17.1	16.1	1.08	17.1	15.1	1.95
Trenton Hassell	78	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	16.4	19.4	-3.06	16.0	18.7	-2.79
Brook Lopez	79	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	16.4	19.6	-3.22	15.9	19.1	-3.23
Rafer Alston	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	1	-5	16.6	17.4	-0.74	16.2	16.1	0.10
Bobby Simmons	48	50	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-5	7	16.5	16.9	-0.45	16.4	16.0	0.33
Terrence Williams	68	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	7	-17	17.0	15.6	1.37	15.8	17.7	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 104, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	91.7%
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	91.3%
UTA 99, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	91.1%