NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	8.5 [202]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): +16.0%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	5.2 [385]		LVP	Delonte West (BOS): -28.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.12	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	-0.01	0.03	18	72%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Orien Greene	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.09	-0.00	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.12	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.06,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	17	40%	0.01	2	-0.06	11	91%	0.04
Raef LaFrentz	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	32%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Delonte West	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.15	0.00	11	33%	-0.09	4	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	18	60%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.09,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.00	10	54%	0.29	3	-0.15	6	100%	0.05
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	64%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.02	13	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	5	23%	-0.06	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.3	34.4	15.8	24.7	2.0	39.2	147.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +10.3%

CHI +27.7%

CHI +13.2%

CHI +5.8%

BOS -7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	13.4	15.6	96.9	101.0	104.4
season	14.8	14.4		103.3	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.8		102.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.0	16.0	15.8	16.3	16.0
CHI	14.1	12.8	13.0	13.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	14	14	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-12	18	15.4	16.1	-0.68	13.3	13.4	-0.14
Raef LaFrentz	55	58	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-7	8	16.9	14.8	2.08	14.0	12.5	1.52
Dwayne Jones	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-4	2	5.0	16.1	-11.13	0.0	13.4	-13.40
Orien Greene	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.9	0.21	12.6	13.9	-1.29
Gerald Green	14	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-3	0	12.5	16.6	-4.10	10.5	13.8	-3.30
Kendrick Perkins	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-1	-4	15.2	16.4	-1.12	13.1	13.5	-0.39
Wally Szczerbiak	76	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-9	12	16.7	13.7	2.99	13.5	13.2	0.29
Tony Allen	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	1	-8	15.1	17.6	-2.44	12.9	14.3	-1.44
Ryan Gomes	55	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-3	0	16.8	15.0	1.74	13.5	13.2	0.27
Paul Pierce	75	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.43	-2	-4	2	16.2	15.3	0.95	13.9	11.3	2.58
Delonte West	68	70	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	10	-26	15.8	16.5	-0.72	13.7	12.7	0.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	79	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-3	12	13.5	13.1	0.32	15.7	17.2	-1.57
Ben Gordon	61	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-5	16	12.9	14.3	-1.44	15.5	16.9	-1.46
Tyson Chandler	55	55	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-2	10	13.4	13.4	0.07	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Kirk Hinrich	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	13.8	12.1	1.69	16.3	14.9	1.47
Andres Nocioni	73	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	1	4	13.7	12.5	1.28	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Jannero Pargo	36	35	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	0	6	12.5	13.9	-1.38	17.5	15.2	2.26
Randy Livingston	5	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	8.6	13.7	-5.06	18.4	15.9	2.52
Malik Allen	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	4	-2	10.5	13.7	-3.16	13.4	16.2	-2.87
Othella Harrington	19	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	15.1	13.0	2.04	16.1	16.0	0.12
Michael Sweetney	36	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	14	-22	13.3	13.4	-0.11	17.1	15.4	1.66
Chris Duhon	46	43	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.00	-9	15	-24	13.9	13.0	0.95	15.6	16.4	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.4,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 65, DET 69	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.66,0.96,1	92.1%
MIA 94, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.14,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.28,0.62,0.72,0.94,1,1	91.6%
POR 87, DAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.57,0.81,1	91.1%