inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 90 Excitement6.4 [528] MVPMike Dunleavy (GSW): +15.5%
Sacramento Kings 83 Comeback1.1 [641] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -7.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.160.120.03-0.011177%0.171-0.0200%0.00
Adonal Foyle0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.020.011172%0.151-0.03367%-0.01
Troy Murphy0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06-0.000.05-0.01850%0.071-0.01250%-0.06
Mickael Pietrus0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.02-0.03337%0.0300.0020%-0.00
Ike Diogu0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01460%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Monta Ellis0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.001100%0.051-0.032100%0.01
Derek Fisher0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.04-0.001455%0.125-0.113100%0.04
Andris Biedrins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Bynum-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Richardson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.03-0.021936%-0.003-0.07771%-0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.18-0.080.041273%0.0600.00989%-0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.130.09-0.042027%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.03-0.042346%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Bonzi Wells0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.02540%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00450%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00733%-0.011-0.031100%0.01
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00333%-0.031-0.02667%-0.02
Kenny Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.001039%-0.022-0.05333%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.528.617.523.42.735.3132.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +52.7%
GSW +2.9%
GSW +7.7%
SAC -9.6%
SAC -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSACNBAGSWSACNBA
this game16.116.815.6102.395.4104.4
season14.815.3102.9104.7
opponent15.515.5103.8104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.217.415.318.716.1
SAC16.716.018.316.416.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher76760.62-0.120.750.1217-102715.023.1-8.1117.214.62.52
Mike Dunleavy70690.60-0.100.700.1017-102714.920.8-5.9117.016.20.78
Jason Richardson71710.57-0.070.650.1913-61915.817.2-1.3616.817.2-0.43
Adonal Foyle67660.51-0.010.530.1612-51715.418.2-2.8416.717.1-0.40
Troy Murphy64660.51-0.010.530.0715-82316.115.90.2217.016.20.85
Andris Biedrins2121-0.010.51-0.530.13-512-1718.215.42.8417.116.70.40
Mickael Pietrus2623-0.030.53-0.560.20-815-2317.015.71.2515.917.2-1.32
Ike Diogu1918-0.080.58-0.650.25-1118-2918.715.43.3216.816.8-0.01
Monta Ellis1111-0.080.58-0.670.06-512-1717.115.91.1615.717.0-1.27
Will Bynum1514-0.120.62-0.740.17-1017-2722.714.78.0216.217.0-0.74

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Hart38400.11-0.610.72-0.3616-233915.917.6-1.6318.014.43.61
Shareef Abdur-Rahim4949-0.01-0.490.49-0.3311-182916.816.9-0.1917.214.62.58
Bonzi Wells1817-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-4115.317.2-1.9013.716.6-2.94
Kenny Thomas6869-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.21-5-2-316.617.8-1.2816.813.53.32
Francisco Garcia4242-0.45-0.05-0.400.02-169-2517.616.11.5515.416.7-1.29
Metta World Peace8283-0.540.04-0.58-0.25-103-1316.817.4-0.6016.213.82.42
Mike Bibby8283-0.560.06-0.62-0.27-103-1317.112.84.2915.722.0-6.28
Brad Miller5657-0.630.13-0.77-0.11-1811-2917.415.71.7014.419.2-4.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.16,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 105, ORL 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.28,0.15,0.02,094.3%
HOU 113, PHX 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.04,093.7%
LAC 94, GSW 790.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.2%