NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	5.1 [794]		MVP	Ben Gordon (ORL): +20.5%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.4 [810]		LVP	Elfrid Payton (ORL): -16.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.02	13	57%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Wall	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	21	59%	0.18	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	13	71%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Glen Rice Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	2	71%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Otto Porter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nene	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.05	-0.01	12	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.08	0.03	10	95%	0.26	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devyn Marble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	45%	0.03	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13	-0.13	0.04	-0.12	0.04	21	53%	-0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	2	25%	-0.03	6	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	30.0	15.6	25.3	2.5	41.4	141.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +27.4%

ORL -7.3%

WAS +6.3%

WAS +19.7%

WAS +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	13.6	15.1	110.5	102.1	104.2
season	15.1	14.9		102.9	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	15.3	18.4	18.5	16.5
ORL	12.5	13.0	15.2	14.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	67	68	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.10	20	-13	33	16.4	16.8	-0.34	13.3	14.5	-1.24
Marcin Gortat	73	74	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.20	15	-8	23	16.7	16.2	0.48	13.7	13.5	0.16
John Wall	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.12	16	-9	25	16.2	17.7	-1.44	13.5	14.2	-0.72
Paul Pierce	61	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	17.2	15.3	1.95	13.0	14.6	-1.53
Nene	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	5	-3	17.4	14.8	2.60	13.7	13.5	0.20
Drew Gooden	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	5	-3	15.4	17.4	-1.98	14.1	13.3	0.86
Otto Porter	35	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.07	5	2	3	14.9	17.5	-2.59	14.0	13.4	0.62
Kris Humphries	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	8	-9	16.3	16.6	-0.28	9.5	13.9	-4.40
Kevin Seraphin	4	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	13	-19	16.7	16.5	0.21	19.7	13.4	6.24
Andre Miller	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	14	-21	17.7	16.2	1.44	14.2	13.5	0.72
Glen Rice Jr.	28	28	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	20	-33	16.8	16.4	0.34	14.5	13.3	1.24

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	48	45	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.33	16	-23	39	13.9	13.3	0.62	18.1	15.2	2.89
Willie Green	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-9	11	14.4	13.6	0.87	16.9	16.5	0.33
Andrew Nicholson	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-12	17	19.6	13.0	6.54	17.7	16.4	1.24
Dewayne Dedmon	17	15	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-8	9	12.9	13.8	-0.83	18.5	16.2	2.36
Ben Gordon	49	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-16	25	14.0	13.2	0.85	18.1	15.0	3.15
Aaron Gordon	39	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	8	-23	12.4	14.4	-2.00	14.2	18.1	-3.86
Channing Frye	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	13.5	13.8	-0.37	16.0	17.1	-1.10
Evan Fournier	67	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	13.8	13.2	0.65	16.3	17.2	-0.89
Nikola Vucevic	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-5	3	14.0	12.2	1.78	16.6	16.3	0.36
Elfrid Payton	47	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.09	-21	14	-35	13.3	14.0	-0.68	15.4	17.7	-2.33
Tobias Harris	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	8	-23	12.9	15.8	-2.89	16.5	16.7	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.28,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, SAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.16,0.09,0	94.3%
MIA 89, CHA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0	93.3%
TOR 100, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.06,0.05,0	93.3%