NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	6.8 [450]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +62.9%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.1 [582]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): -8.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.63	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.63	0.11	0.50	-0.01	18	62%	0.70	3	-0.07	17	82%	0.05
Patrick Beverley	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.05	-0.02	13	54%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	125%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	61%	0.10	6	-0.15	1	0%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.37	0.37	0.07	0.29	-0.01	14	66%	0.42	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.04
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.01	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	14	66%	0.10	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	14	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.04	20	50%	0.04	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	31.2	15.7	29.3	1.8	35.7	138.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.0%

PHX -9.2%

PHX -4.6%

PHX -6.1%

HOU +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	15.1	111.9	108.8	104.2
season	14.3	14.4		105.6	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		104.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.6	16.0	13.2	16.8	15.1
PHX	12.1	12.3	15.6	13.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	45	47	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-13	28	16.3	14.1	2.12	13.6	13.1	0.52
Jason Terry	31	31	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.44	9	-7	16	13.5	15.8	-2.22	14.2	12.9	1.34
James Harden	84	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.42	1	1	0	15.1	14.8	0.32	13.0	14.8	-1.80
Josh Smith	58	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-7	16	13.3	17.4	-4.10	13.8	12.7	1.04
Patrick Beverley	71	72	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	5	-8	15.8	13.5	2.31	12.7	14.7	-1.99
Trevor Ariza	76	76	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.40	-5	7	-12	15.7	13.1	2.67	13.1	13.8	-0.69
Kostas Papanikolaou	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.32	-7	9	-16	17.2	14.1	3.06	14.0	13.0	1.00
Dwight Howard	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.7	14.7	2.03	11.2	13.7	-2.58
Corey Brewer	45	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	0	2	13.8	16.1	-2.37	13.8	12.8	0.99
Joey Dorsey	43	45	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.03	-14	16	-30	14.0	15.9	-1.94	13.4	13.2	0.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	13	12	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-6	10	12.9	13.3	-0.43	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Markieff Morris	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-10	18	13.3	13.3	-0.07	16.7	13.6	3.12
Brandan Wright	34	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.03	-4	2	-6	14.6	12.6	1.94	13.8	15.7	-1.87
Eric Bledsoe	82	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-13	24	13.0	14.7	-1.75	15.5	13.4	2.12
Gerald Green	51	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	0	-2	13.6	12.9	0.71	14.0	16.1	-2.12
Marcus Morris	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-5	8	13.5	13.1	0.31	14.5	15.6	-1.09
PJ Tucker	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	0	-2	12.7	14.3	-1.64	15.7	14.1	1.61
Alex Len	50	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	9	-20	13.0	13.5	-0.50	15.1	15.0	0.10
Goran Dragic	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	14	-30	13.4	13.2	0.20	15.8	14.7	1.12
Isaiah Thomas	81	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-1	0	13.4	12.7	0.73	14.5	17.2	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 110, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
ATL 104, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MEM 104, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%