NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	110		Excitement	4.7 [853]		MVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): +4.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	1.3 [371]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -11.5%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	59%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Smith	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	77%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	22	56%	0.09	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	21	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Pete Chilcutt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	17	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.04	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
James Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.12	0.00	0.12	7	88%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	16	44%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	11	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	14	38%	-0.06	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.0	29.1	16.6	22.4	2.4	26.6	121.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +15.9%

VAN +3.0%

VAN +14.6%

VAN +15.9%

VAN +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.6	108.9	93.1	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		101.3	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.5	14.8	14.8	14.0	14.3
LAC	16.5	14.5	14.6	11.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	57	58	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-2	20	13.9	14.8	-0.95	15.7	12.1	3.60
Bryant Reeves	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.02	19	-3	22	14.6	13.7	0.91	15.3	12.1	3.20
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	79	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	0	16	14.5	13.5	0.97	14.2	14.1	0.09
Lee Mayberry	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	6	4	14.7	13.9	0.74	15.2	13.0	2.22
Blue Edwards	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	4	8	14.5	13.9	0.59	14.0	14.6	-0.58
Antonio Daniels	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	12	-8	13.9	14.5	-0.59	14.6	14.0	0.58
George Lynch	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	9	-2	14.3	14.3	-0.05	13.5	14.8	-1.33
Bobby Hurley	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.17	10	6	4	14.4	14.2	0.18	13.8	14.5	-0.68
Larry Robinson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	11.0	14.6	-3.55	7.7	14.6	-6.95
Tony Massenburg	42	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	19	-22	14.3	14.3	-0.04	12.2	15.6	-3.43
Pete Chilcutt	17	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.16	-9	25	-34	13.6	14.5	-0.86	11.1	14.8	-3.69

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Smith	33	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-22	28	13.1	14.8	-1.70	13.6	14.7	-1.13
James Collins	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	-15	14	10.9	15.1	-4.17	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Keith Closs	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-16	16	11.1	15.1	-4.04	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Pooh Richardson	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-8	0	15.4	13.0	2.35	14.9	13.7	1.16
Ike Austin	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-10	4	14.5	13.9	0.60	14.9	13.8	1.04
Rodney Rogers	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-4	-8	14.4	14.0	0.39	14.8	13.8	1.00
Stojko Vrankovic	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-1	-14	16.5	13.1	3.38	14.1	14.4	-0.36
Darrick Martin	36	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-3	-10	15.4	13.6	1.79	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Lamond Murray	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-4	-8	15.1	12.2	2.90	14.8	13.2	1.56
Lorenzen Wright	73	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-9	2	13.5	16.0	-2.48	13.8	15.7	-1.81
James Robinson	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	-4	-8	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.3	14.3	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MEM 104, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
SAS 95, DAL 79	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%